Wednesday, September 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Montgomery vs. Matt Garza
The Chicago Cubs head to Miller Park on Wednesday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Mike Montgomery for the Cubs and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Chicago at -152 and Milwaukee at +142. The over/under is 9. The Cubs have a 63-67-7 over/under mark and a 73-64-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Brewers are 72-65-0 against the run line and have a 65-65-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Cubs head into this game with a 89-48 record, and they are 38-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Montgomery has a 4-5 record with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 77 strikeouts during his 83.2 innings pitched and he has given up 70 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.75. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have allowed 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the pen while they've been struck out 440 times and walked 168 times this year. As a unit, Chicago has given up 6.83 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.83 hitters per nine. They are 1st in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.04. The Cubs pitchers have collectively given up 946 base hits and 424 earned runs. They have allowed 136 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 426 batters and struck out 1,220. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.77.
As a team, Chicago is hitting .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .265 average on the road. The Cubs have a .427 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .344 which is good for 2nd in the league. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.77 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .389. He has 146 hits this season along with 82 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He's struck out 90 times and has walked 66 times. Kris Bryant is hitting .302 and he has an on-base percentage of .398. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 112 runs and he's driven in 91. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 131 times. The Cubs have 1,201 hits, including 250 doubles and 167 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Chicago has walked 556 times this season and they've struck out 1,141 times as a unit. They've left 1,035 men on base and have a team OPS of .772. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 691 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 37-36 home mark and a 60-77 overall record. With an ERA of 4.57, Matt Garza has a 5-6 record and a 1.53 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 80.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 92 hits. He has allowed 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 455 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 417 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,235 base knocks and 567 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 471 hitters and struck out 998. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .246 average at home. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.03 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 147 hits this year along with 74 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 150 times and has walked on 65 occasions. Ryan Braun is hitting .307 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 134 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 75. He has earned a walk 40 times and has punched out 84 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,100 base hits, including 214 doubles and 156 homers. They have 153 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 46 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 526 times this year and they have struck out 1,309 times. They've had 933 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 562 runs so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 63-67-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 73-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 65-65-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 72-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/19/16 P Hector Rondon Tricep 15-day DL (8/17)
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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