Saturday, July 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: John Lamb vs. Adam Conley
The Cincinnati Reds visit Marlins Park on Saturday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are John Lamb for the Reds and Adam Conley for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +182 and Miami at -192. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Reds have a 49-30-7 over/under record and a 43-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 42-43-0 against the run line and have a 45-39-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Reds head into this matchup with a 32-54 record, including 14-29 on the road. Starting pitcher John Lamb has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 5.43 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 46 strikeouts over his 63 innings pitched and he has given up 69 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.62. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.80 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen while being struck out 275 times and walking 173 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.49. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 812 base hits and 471 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season and they allow 1.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 377 batters and struck out 621. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.54 and their FIP as a unit is 5.77.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .238, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8 hits per game. Jay Bruce comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .317. He has 82 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 62 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 21 times. Brandon Phillips is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .293. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 43 times. The Reds have 687 hits, including 146 doubles and 97 home runs. They've stolen 65 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Cincinnati has walked 232 times this season and they've struck out 722 times as a unit. They've left 486 men on base and have a team OPS of .699. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 370 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 21-19 home record and a 44-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.65, Adam Conley has a 5-5 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 93.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 85 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.97. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 288 times and walking 129 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.55 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 709 base knocks and 346 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 311 hitters and struck out 718. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Marlins hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.54 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .310 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 97 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .314 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 100 hits so far while he's scored 35 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 22 times and has punched out 39 times. The Marlins as a unit have 811 base hits, including 135 doubles and 75 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Miami as a team has walked 242 times this year and they have struck out 651 times. They've had 652 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They score 4.2 runs per game and have totaled 357 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 49-30-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 43-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 45-39-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 42-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Reds
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