Sunday, July 31, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Homer Bailey vs. Colin Rea
The Cincinnati Reds visit Petco Park on Sunday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Homer Bailey for the Reds and Colin Rea for the Padres. The Reds have a 55-38-9 over/under record and a 52-50-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Padres are 61-42-0 against the run line and have a 53-48-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
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The Reds head into this matchup with a 41-61 record, including 17-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Homer Bailey is making his season debut for the Reds following Tommy John surgery. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.30 and they have given up 367 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 330 times and walking 196 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.22. The Reds pitchers have collectively given up 942 base hits and 530 earned runs. They have allowed 170 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 425 batters and struck out 758. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.45.
As a team, Cincinnati is batting .243, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Reds hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.19 hits per game. Brandon Phillips comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .305. He has 97 hits this season along with 44 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 14 times. Jay Bruce is hitting .268 and he has an on-base percentage of .319. He has totaled 98 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 83 times. The Reds have 834 hits, including 168 doubles and 116 home runs. They've stolen 82 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Cincinnati has walked 280 times this season and they've struck out 854 times as a unit. They've left 596 men on base and have a team OPS of .708. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 443 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 23-26 home record and a 44-59 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.98, Colin Rea has a 5-5 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 99.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 101 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.75. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 351 times and walking 154 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.94 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.13 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 914 base knocks and 468 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 379 hitters and struck out 831. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Padres hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.2 hits per contest. Matt Kemp comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .285. He has 107 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 100 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Wil Myers is hitting .274 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 63. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 94 times. The Padres as a unit have 845 base hits, including 176 doubles and 123 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. San Diego as a team has walked 283 times this year and they have struck out 951 times. They've had 629 men left on base and have an OPS of .707. They score 4.4 runs per game and have totaled 453 runs so far this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 55-38-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 52-50-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 53-48-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 61-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
San Diego Padres
07/30/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Personal is on the family leave list
07/29/16 LF Alex Dickerson Hip injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Reds
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