Tuesday, September 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Clevinger vs. Justin Verlander
The Cleveland Indians visit Comerica Park on Tuesday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Mike Clevinger for the Indians and Justin Verlander for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at +164 and Detroit at -174. The over/under was set at 8. The Indians have a 76-69-10 over/under record and a 72-83-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Tigers are 83-72-0 against the run line and have a 77-71-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 90-65 record, including 37-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Clevinger has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.39. He has 47 strikeouts over his 50.1 innings pitched and he has given up 43 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.69. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 418 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen while being struck out 487 times and walking 183 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 1,277 base hits and 588 earned runs. They have allowed 179 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,349. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .263, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Indians hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game. Francisco Lindor comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 179 hits this season along with 96 runs scored and 72 runs batted in. He's struck out 87 times and has walked 51 times. Jason Kipnis is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 163 hits so far while scoring 89 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 141 times. The Indians have 1,394 hits, including 298 doubles and 181 home runs. They've stolen 130 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Cleveland has walked 505 times this season and they've struck out 1,201 times as a unit. They've left 1,043 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 751 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 43-34 home record and a 83-72 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.21, Justin Verlander has a 15-8 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 234 strikeouts over the 213 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 161 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 492 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 435 times and walking 177 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 8.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.73 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,378 base knocks and 655 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 176 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 444 hitters and struck out 1,186. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .271 average at home. The Tigers hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.15 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .344. He has 169 hits this year along with 111 runs scored and 78 RBI. He's struck out 109 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .386. He has collected 175 hits so far while he's scored 86 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 74 times and has punched out 111 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,419 base hits, including 240 doubles and 200 homers. They have 58 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Detroit as a team has walked 477 times this year and they have struck out 1,248 times. They've had 1,070 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.64 runs per game and have totaled 719 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 76-69-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 72-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 77-71-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 83-72-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/17/16 C Yan Gomes Wrist 60-day DL (7/18)
09/17/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand out indefinitely
09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out indefinitely
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Indians
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