Thursday, September 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ryan Merritt vs. Daniel Norris
The Cleveland Indians head to Comerica Park on Thursday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Ryan Merritt for the Indians and Daniel Norris for the Tigers. The opening line for this game has Cleveland at +127 and Detroit at -137. The over/under is 9.5. The Indians have a 78-69-10 over/under mark and a 73-84-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Tigers are 84-73-0 against the run line and have a 79-71-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Indians head into this game with a 91-66 record, and they are 38-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Ryan Merritt has a 0-0 record with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.50. He has 2 strikeouts during his 6 innings pitched and he has given up 3 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 4.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.48. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have allowed 432 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the pen while they've been struck out 497 times and walked 187 times this year. As a unit, Cleveland has given up 8.3 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.69 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.85. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 1,303 base hits and 604 earned runs. They have allowed 183 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 455 batters and struck out 1,364. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.
As a team, Cleveland is hitting .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .236 average on the road. The Indians have a .430 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 164 hits this season along with 90 runs scored and 81 runs batted in. He's struck out 142 times and has walked 58 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 179 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 72. He has walked 53 times and has struck out 87 times. The Indians have 1,406 hits, including 299 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 131 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Cleveland has walked 512 times this season and they've struck out 1,217 times as a unit. They've left 1,055 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 758 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this game with a 44-35 home mark and a 84-73 overall record. With an ERA of 3.59, Daniel Norris has a 3-2 record and a 1.44 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 62.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 70 hits. He has allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.96. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 496 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 437 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 8.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.74 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,390 base knocks and 661 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 178 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 451 hitters and struck out 1,202. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .274 average at home. The Tigers hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.2 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 180 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 102 RBI. He's struck out 112 times and has walked on 75 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .289 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 174 hits so far while he's scored 114 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 44 times and has punched out 110 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,445 base hits, including 244 doubles and 204 homers. They have 58 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 29 times. Detroit as a team has walked 484 times this year and they have struck out 1,263 times. They've had 1,082 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They score 4.68 runs per game and have totaled 735 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 78-69-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 73-84-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 79-71-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 84-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/27/16 P Corey Kluber Quad expected to miss 7-10 days
09/17/16 C Yan Gomes Wrist 60-day DL (7/18)
09/17/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand out indefinitely
09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out indefinitely
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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