Sunday, May 1, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Danny Salazar vs. Vincent Velasquez
The Cleveland Indians visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Danny Salazar for the Indians and Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies. The Indians have a 10-8-2 over/under record and a 8-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Phillies are 13-10-0 against the run line and have a 10-11-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 10-10 record, including 7-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Danny Salazar has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 26 strikeouts over his 23 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.21. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 50 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 57 times and walking 29 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.23 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 154 base hits and 79 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 58 batters and struck out 163. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .247, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Indians hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. Jason Kipnis comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 22 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 27 times and has walked 7 times. Francisco Lindor is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 12 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 18 times. The Indians have 169 hits, including 39 doubles and 20 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Cleveland has walked 61 times this season and they've struck out 190 times as a unit. They've left 129 men on base and have a team OPS of .708. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 88 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 6-5 home record and a 13-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.78, Vincent Velasquez has a 3-1 record and a 0.87 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 25.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 16 hits. He has allowed 5.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 88 times and walking 34 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.42 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.82. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 176 base knocks and 88 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 66 hitters and struck out 240. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.59.
As a team, they are batting .232, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .212 average at home. The Phillies hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.61 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 24 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 14 RBI. He's struck out 18 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .460. He has collected 23 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 18 times. The Phillies as a unit have 174 base hits, including 34 doubles and 20 homers. They have 10 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 61 times this year and they have struck out 198 times. They've had 139 men left on base and have an OPS of .661. They score 3.3 runs per game and have totaled 76 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 10-8-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 8-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-11-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 13-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/25/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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