Monday, October 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Trevor Bauer vs. Marcus Stroman
The Cleveland Indians visit Rogers Centre on Monday to play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of the ALCS. Cleveland leads the series 2-0. The probable starters are Trevor Bauer for the Indians and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays. The Indians have a 80-70-11 over/under record and a 75-86-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Blue Jays are 79-83-0 against the run line and have a 63-93-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Indians head into this matchup with a 94-67 record, including 41-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Trevor Bauer has a 12-8 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 168 strikeouts over his 190 innings pitched and he has given up 179 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.99. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers have collectively given up 1,330 base hits and 617 earned runs. They have allowed 186 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,398. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Cleveland is batting .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Indians hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Jose Ramirez comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 176 hits this season along with 84 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 62 times and has walked 44 times. Mike Napoli is hitting .239 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 133 hits so far while scoring 92 runs and he's driven in 101. He has walked 78 times and has struck out 194 times. The Indians have 1,435 hits, including 308 doubles and 185 home runs. They've stolen 134 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Cleveland has walked 531 times this season and they've struck out 1,246 times as a unit. They've left 1,084 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.83 runs per contest and have scored a total of 777 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 46-35 home record and a 89-73 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.37, Marcus Stroman has a 9-10 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 166 strikeouts over the 204 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 209 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.11 and they have given up 452 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 472 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 613 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,314. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Jose Bautista comes into this matchup batting .234 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 99 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 103 times and has walked on 87 occasions. Russell Martin is hitting .231 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 62 runs and drove in 74. He has earned a walk 64 times and has punched out 148 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,358 base hits, including 276 doubles and 221 homers. They have 54 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Toronto as a team has walked 632 times this year and they have struck out 1,362 times. They've had 1,120 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 759 runs so far this season.
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 80-70-11 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 75-86-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-93-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 79-83-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
10/15/16 P Trevor Bauer Finger expected to start Monday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
10/01/16 P Carlos Carrasco Hand 60-day DL (9/17), out for season
09/13/16 P Danny Salazar Forearm out for season
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Toronto Blue Jays
10/15/16 2B Devon Travis Knee out for season
09/27/16 P Joaquin Benoit Calf out indefinitely
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians
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