Sunday, June 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jon Gray vs. James Shields
The Colorado Rockies visit Petco Park on Sunday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Jon Gray for the Rockies and James Shields for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Colorado at -114 and San Diego at +104. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rockies have a 28-25-1 over/under record and a 27-27-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Padres are 35-21-0 against the run line and have a 28-27-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 63% of the time.
The Rockies head into this matchup with a 24-30 record, including 14-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Gray has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 5.76 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 49 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he has given up 44 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.65. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 58 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.20. The Rockies pitchers have collectively given up 527 base hits and 277 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a pitching staff has walked 161 batters and struck out 389. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.
As a team, Colorado is batting .270, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Rockies hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.39 hits per game. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .350. He has 63 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 14 times. Nolan Arenado is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 59 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 23 times. The Rockies have 508 hits, including 109 doubles and 68 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Colorado has walked 157 times this season and they've struck out 413 times as a unit. They've left 352 men on base and have a team OPS of .784. They score 4.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 269 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 12-16 home record and a 22-34 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.28, James Shields has a 2-7 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 67.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 69 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 198 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 193 times and walking 94 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 490 base knocks and 252 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 60 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 228 hitters and struck out 461. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .227 average at home. The Padres hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .270 and he has an OBP of .304. He has 58 hits this year along with 31 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 64 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 49 times. The Padres as a unit have 450 base hits, including 90 doubles and 55 homers. They have 36 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. San Diego as a team has walked 141 times this year and they have struck out 518 times. They've had 345 men left on base and have an OPS of .666. They score 4.02 runs per game and have totaled 225 runs so far this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 28-25-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 27-27-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 28-27-1 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 35-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/04/16 C Tony Wolters Concussion 7-day DL (6/3)
05/25/16 P Boone Logan Shoulder 15-day DL (5/18)
05/20/16 P Christian Bergman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
04/10/16 P Adam Ottavino Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Tyler Anderson Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rockies
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