Monday, July 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Danny Salazar
The Detroit Tigers visit Progressive Field on Monday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Daniel Norris for the Tigers and Danny Salazar for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +135 and Cleveland at -145. The over/under was set at 8. The Tigers have a 47-30-4 over/under record and a 46-35-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 57% of the time. The Indians are 44-36-0 against the run line and have a 40-34-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Tigers head into this matchup with a 43-38 record, including 20-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.46. He has 13 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.89. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 263 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen while being struck out 211 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 751 base hits and 363 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 234 batters and struck out 589. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.
As a team, Detroit is batting .271, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.43 hits per game. Nick Castellanos comes into this game hitting .300 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 90 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 19 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .291 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 95 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 50. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 62 times. The Tigers have 764 hits, including 131 doubles and 107 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Detroit has walked 245 times this season and they've struck out 682 times as a unit. They've left 556 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 397 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 23-12 home record and a 49-31 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.22, Danny Salazar has a 10-3 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 107 strikeouts over the 93.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.12. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.19 and they have given up 196 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 227 times and walking 91 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.41. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 629 base knocks and 276 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 89 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 224 hitters and struck out 688. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.85.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .291 average at home. The Indians hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 9 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .264 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 82 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 72 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 94 hits so far while he's scored 52 runs and drove in 39. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 45 times. The Indians as a unit have 720 base hits, including 136 doubles and 102 homers. They have 64 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 14 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 250 times this year and they have struck out 636 times. They've had 525 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They score 4.86 runs per game and have totaled 389 runs so far this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 47-30-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 46-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 40-34-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 44-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
07/03/16 3B Juan Uribe Hand is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers
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