Sunday, June 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Matt Moore
The Houston Astros head to Tropicana Field on Sunday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Matt Moore for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Houston at -120 and Tampa Bay at +110. The over/under is 7.5. The Astros have a 31-27-5 over/under mark and a 27-36-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Rays are 29-30-0 against the run line and have a 27-27-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Astros head into this game with a 29-34 record, and they are 12-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 3-8 record with an ERA of 5.44 and a WHIP of 1.44. He has 72 strikeouts during his 82.2 innings pitched and he has given up 92 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.22 and they have allowed 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the pen while they've been struck out 240 times and walked 49 times this year. As a unit, Houston has given up 9.1 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 hitters per nine. They are 17th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.18. The Astros pitchers have collectively given up 583 base hits and 268 earned runs. They have allowed 68 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 172 batters and struck out 542. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 3.74.
As a team, Houston is hitting .238, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .245 average on the road. The Astros have a .407 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .320 which is good for 15th in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.17 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this game hitting .340 and his on-base percentage is at .417. He has 85 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 26 times and has walked 31 times. Carlos Correa is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 60 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 32. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 68 times. The Astros have 515 hits, including 114 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 54 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Houston has walked 246 times this season and they've struck out 615 times as a unit. They've left 445 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 268 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 12-15 home mark and a 28-31 overall record. With an ERA of 5.56, Matt Moore has a 2-4 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 69.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 81 hits. He has allowed 10.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.96. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 163 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 502 base knocks and 237 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 79 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 173 hitters and struck out 496. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.26.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .219 average at home. The Rays hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .327. He has 64 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Steven Souza is hitting .252 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 51 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 81 times. The Rays as a unit have 479 base hits, including 105 doubles and 88 homers. They have 24 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 183 times this year and they have struck out 551 times. They've had 400 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 247 runs so far this season.
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 31-27-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 27-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 27-27-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 29-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/11/16 SS Carlos Correa Ankle is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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