Saturday, April 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Jake Peavy
The Miami Marlins visit AT&T Park on Saturday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Jake Peavy for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -119 and San Francisco at +109. The over/under was set at 7. The Marlins have a 7-7-0 over/under record and a 7-7-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Giants are 6-11-0 against the run line and have a 8-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 35% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 5-9 record, including 3-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 27 strikeouts over his 16.2 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.19. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 41 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen while being struck out 44 times and walking 22 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 7.94 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.86 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 112 base hits and 57 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 53 batters and struck out 125. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.66.
As a team, Miami is batting .263, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .290 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.07 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .313. He has 18 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 10 times and has walked 2 times. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .224 and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 20 times. The Marlins have 127 hits, including 25 doubles and 9 home runs. They've stolen 7 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Miami has walked 47 times this season and they've struck out 113 times as a unit. They've left 107 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 3.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 55 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 3-5 home record and a 7-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.00, Jake Peavy has a 0-1 record and a 2.07 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 18 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.89. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 48 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 39 times and walking 23 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 9.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.50. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 164 base knocks and 76 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 15 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 50 hitters and struck out 126. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Giants hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.24 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .255 and he has an OBP of .328. He has 13 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 5 RBI. He's struck out 6 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .262 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 16 hits so far while he's scored 7 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 11 times. The Giants as a unit have 140 base hits, including 23 doubles and 21 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 57 times this year and they have struck out 109 times. They've had 104 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.71 runs per game and have totaled 80 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 7-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 7-7-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 8-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 6-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
San Francisco Giants
04/19/16 P George Kontos Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/16/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 15-day DL (4/15)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Giants
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