Sunday, June 12, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Zach Davies
The New York Mets head to Miller Park on Sunday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has New York at -121 and Milwaukee at +111. The over/under is 8.5. The Mets have a 28-31-1 over/under mark and a 26-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Brewers are 28-33-0 against the run line and have a 30-27-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Mets head into this game with a 34-26 record, and they are 19-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 7-2 record with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 61 strikeouts during his 60.1 innings pitched and he has given up 54 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.71. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.01 and they have allowed 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the pen while they've been struck out 196 times and walked 69 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.32 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.79 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.09. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 495 base hits and 182 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 149 batters and struck out 524. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.10.
As a team, New York is hitting .234, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .247 average on the road. The Mets have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.77 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .262 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 58 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 15 times. Neil Walker is hitting .273 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 56 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 52 times. The Mets have 466 hits, including 90 doubles and 81 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 203 times this season and they've struck out 544 times as a unit. They've left 419 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 222 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 17-17 home mark and a 28-33 overall record. With an ERA of 4.29, Zach Davies has a 4-3 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 43 strikeouts over the 56.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 201 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 189 times and walking 87 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 552 base knocks and 270 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 212 hitters and struck out 445. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.77.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Brewers hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.97 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 59 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 63 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 42 times. The Brewers as a unit have 486 base hits, including 94 doubles and 63 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 242 times this year and they have struck out 580 times. They've had 423 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 247 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 28-31-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 26-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-27-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/11/16 C Jonathan Lucroy Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. New York Mets
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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