Monday, August 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Logan Verrett
The New York Yankees visit Citi Field on Monday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are CC Sabathia for the Yankees and Logan Verrett for the Mets. The Yankees have a 42-52-9 over/under record and a 49-54-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Mets are 43-60-0 against the run line and have a 42-58-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Yankees head into this matchup with a 52-51 record, including 23-29 on the road. Starting pitcher CC Sabathia has a 6-8 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 81 strikeouts over his 107 innings pitched and he has given up 104 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.03. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.42 and they have given up 247 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen while being struck out 373 times and walking 91 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 864 base hits and 422 earned runs. They have allowed 133 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 259 batters and struck out 898. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.
As a team, New York is batting .248, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .250 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.34 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .264 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 92 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 47 times and has walked 31 times. Carlos Beltran is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 107 hits so far while scoring 49 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 68 times. The Yankees have 859 hits, including 149 doubles and 105 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. New York has walked 290 times this season and they've struck out 715 times as a unit. They've left 686 men on base and have a team OPS of .700. They score 4.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 416 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 27-25 home record and a 53-50 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.12, Logan Verrett has a 3-6 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 74.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 73 hits. He has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.23 and they have given up 260 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 329 times and walking 115 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 866 base knocks and 341 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 261 hitters and struck out 876. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.44.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Mets hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.87 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .291 and he has an OBP of .365. He has 95 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 58 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 36 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .255 and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 95 hits so far while he's scored 41 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 22 times and has punched out 80 times. The Mets as a unit have 811 base hits, including 153 doubles and 132 homers. They have 27 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. New York as a team has walked 318 times this year and they have struck out 855 times. They've had 713 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 3.64 runs per game and have totaled 375 runs so far this season.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 42-52-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 49-54-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 42-58-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 43-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Yankees
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
New York Mets
07/30/16 3B Jose Reyes Ribs 15-day DL (7/30)
07/30/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad left last game, "?" Sunday vs. Colorado Rockies
07/29/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees
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