Thursday, July 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Chad Bettis
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Coors Field on Thursday to play the Colorado Rockies. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Chad Bettis for the Rockies. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +148 and Colorado at -158. The over/under was set at 12.5. The Phillies have a 42-41-2 over/under record and a 43-42-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Rockies are 43-40-0 against the run line and have a 41-40-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 39-46 record, including 19-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 106 strikeouts over his 96 innings pitched and he has given up 100 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.19. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 269 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 272 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 754 base hits and 357 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 231 batters and struck out 728. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .241, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.95 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .388. He has 94 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 43 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .261 and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 77 hits so far while scoring 31 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 60 times. The Phillies have 676 hits, including 126 doubles and 82 home runs. They've stolen 34 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Philadelphia has walked 196 times this season and they've struck out 664 times as a unit. They've left 503 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 3.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 304 runs so far this year.
Colorado comes into this matchup with a 18-20 home record and a 38-45 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.85, Chad Bettis has a 6-6 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 95.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 121 hits. He has allowed 11.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.94 and they have given up 298 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Rockies bullpen while being struck out 236 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Colorado has allowed 9.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Rockies pitchers as a team have surrendered 796 base knocks and 412 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Colorado as a staff has walked 258 hitters and struck out 599. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .305 average at home. The Rockies hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.39 hits per contest. Carlos Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 100 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 78 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Nolan Arenado is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 93 hits so far while he's scored 59 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 37 times and has punched out 48 times. The Rockies as a unit have 780 base hits, including 175 doubles and 107 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Colorado as a team has walked 261 times this year and they have struck out 680 times. They've had 565 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They score 5.16 runs per game and have totaled 428 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 42-41-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 43-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Colorado Rockies Betting Trends
The Colorado Rockies are 41-40-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Colorado Rockies are 43-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/06/16 P Justin Miller Oblique 15-day DL (7/3)
06/16/16 LF Gerardo Parra Ankle 15-day DL (6/15)
06/14/16 P Christopher Rusin Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
05/20/16 P Christian Bergman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
04/04/16 P Jairo Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
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