Monday, July 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Jarred Cosart
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Marlins Park on Monday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies and Jarred Cosart for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has Philadelphia at +126 and Miami at -136. The over/under is 8.5. The Phillies have a 46-51-2 over/under mark and a 49-50-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 50-47-0 against the run line and have a 50-45-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Phillies head into this game with a 45-54 record, and they are 22-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson has a 7-7 record with an ERA of 3.84 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 106 strikeouts during his 119.2 innings pitched and he has given up 112 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.21. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have allowed 309 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the pen while they've been struck out 306 times and walked 116 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 8.98 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.48 hitters per nine. They are 16th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.28. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 875 base hits and 417 earned runs. They have allowed 122 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 259 batters and struck out 826. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .262 average on the road. The Phillies have a .387 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .293 which is good for 30th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.98 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .310. He has 89 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 25 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 106 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 33. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 76 times. The Phillies have 790 hits, including 143 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Philadelphia has walked 227 times this season and they've struck out 786 times as a unit. They've left 603 men on base and have a team OPS of .680. They score 3.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 353 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this game with a 25-20 home mark and a 53-44 overall record. With an ERA of 7.98, Jarred Cosart has a 0-1 record and a 2.11 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 14.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 16 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.12. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 265 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 330 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 797 base knocks and 379 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 335 hitters and struck out 834. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.97.
As a team, they are batting .273, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Marlins hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.51 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 115 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 80 times. The Marlins as a unit have 922 base hits, including 163 doubles and 83 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Miami as a team has walked 275 times this year and they have struck out 747 times. They've had 735 men left on base and have an OPS of .740. They score 4.22 runs per game and have totaled 409 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 46-51-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 50-45-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 50-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/23/16 3B Maikel Franco Wrist "?" Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/24/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Undisclosed expected to miss next scheduled start Monday
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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