Wednesday, July 27, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Zach Eflin vs. Adam Conley
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Zach Eflin for the Phillies and Adam Conley for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +158 and Miami at -168. The over/under was set at 8. The Phillies have a 47-52-2 over/under record and a 51-50-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Marlins are 50-49-0 against the run line and have a 50-47-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 46-55 record, including 23-27 on the road. Starting pitcher Zach Eflin has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 26 strikeouts over his 50.1 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 312 times and walking 116 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 886 base hits and 422 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 264 batters and struck out 838. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.99 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .260 and his on-base percentage is at .317. He has 91 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 55 runs batted in. He's struck out 70 times and has walked 28 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .367. He has totaled 107 hits so far while scoring 56 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 80 times. The Phillies have 807 hits, including 146 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Philadelphia has walked 236 times this season and they've struck out 808 times as a unit. They've left 620 men on base and have a team OPS of .681. They score 3.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 361 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 25-22 home record and a 53-46 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.58, Adam Conley has a 6-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 106 strikeouts over the 110.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 98 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 271 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 344 times and walking 146 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 810 base knocks and 386 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 345 hitters and struck out 855. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.
As a team, they are batting .270, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Marlins hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.38 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .369. He has 118 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 80 times. The Marlins as a unit have 929 base hits, including 163 doubles and 83 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Miami as a team has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out 759 times. They've had 746 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They score 4.13 runs per game and have totaled 409 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 47-52-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 51-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 50-47-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 50-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
07/26/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension 80-game suspension, expected to be activated Thursday
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks