Tuesday, May 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Michael Wacha
The Philadelphia Phillies visit Busch Stadium on Tuesday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Michael Wacha for the Cardinals. The Phillies have a 10-13-2 over/under record and a 15-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Cardinals are 12-13-0 against the run line and have a 15-8-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Phillies head into this matchup with a 15-10 record, including 7-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 3.55 and a WHIP of 0.88. He has 37 strikeouts over his 33 innings pitched and he has given up 23 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.55. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 74 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 92 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.14 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 189 base hits and 92 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 71 batters and struck out 254. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.54.
As a team, Philadelphia is batting .230, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .368 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.44 hits per game. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .310. He has 24 hits this season along with 7 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 19 times and has walked 6 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .449. He has totaled 25 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 18 times. The Phillies have 185 hits, including 35 doubles and 21 home runs. They've stolen 10 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Philadelphia has walked 66 times this season and they've struck out 212 times as a unit. They've left 145 men on base and have a team OPS of .656. They score 3.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 82 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 5-7 home record and a 12-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.07, Michael Wacha has a 2-1 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 29.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 57 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 77 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.01 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 201 base knocks and 99 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 82 hitters and struck out 197. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.81.
As a team, they are batting .271, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .271 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .473 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.52 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .242 and he has an OBP of .375. He has 22 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 23 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .329 and he has an OBP of .412. He has collected 28 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 11 times and has punched out 13 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 238 base hits, including 50 doubles and 35 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 89 times this year and they have struck out 213 times. They've had 188 men left on base and have an OPS of .819. They score 5.72 runs per game and have totaled 143 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-13-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-10-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 15-8-2 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 12-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
St. Louis Cardinals
04/04/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 SS Jhonny Peralta Thumb 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
04/04/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 CF Thomas Pham Oblique 15-day DL (4/4)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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