Friday, August 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ryan Vogelsong vs. Matt Garza
The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Miller Park on Friday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Ryan Vogelsong for the Pirates and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -120 and Milwaukee at +110. The over/under was set at 9. The Pirates have a 69-52-3 over/under record and a 59-65-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Brewers are 65-61-0 against the run line and have a 60-59-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Pirates head into this matchup with a 63-61 record, including 29-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 33 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he has given up 40 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.6. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 397 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 369 times and walking 169 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,125 base hits and 508 earned runs. They have allowed 133 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 409 batters and struck out 913. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.
As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .257, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.79 hits per game. Jordy Mercer comes into this game hitting .266 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 109 hits this season along with 52 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 64 times and has walked 44 times. Starling Marte is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 134 hits so far while scoring 65 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 96 times. The Pirates have 1,090 hits, including 216 doubles and 116 home runs. They've stolen 91 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 36 times. Pittsburgh has walked 404 times this season and they've struck out 1,027 times as a unit. They've left 875 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 561 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 36-29 home record and a 56-70 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.27, Matt Garza has a 4-5 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 68.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 84 hits. He has allowed 11.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 424 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 390 times and walking 174 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,149 base knocks and 536 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 144 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 432 hitters and struck out 912. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.50.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .317 and he has an OBP of .380. He has 126 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 72 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Jonathan Villar is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 139 hits so far while he's scored 69 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 137 times. The Brewers as a unit have 1,021 base hits, including 193 doubles and 141 homers. They have 141 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 43 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 486 times this year and they have struck out 1,191 times. They've had 862 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 4.13 runs per game and have totaled 521 runs so far this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 69-52-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 59-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 60-59-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 65-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/21/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Shoulder 15-day DL (8/20)
07/24/16 P Tyler Glasnow Shoulder 15-day DL (7/24)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates
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