Monday, July 4, 2016
Minute Maid Park
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Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Lance McCullers
The Seattle Mariners head to Minute Maid Park on Monday to take on the Houston Astros. The probable pitchers are Wade Miley for the Mariners and Lance McCullers for the Astros. The opening line for this game has Seattle at +146 and Houston at -156. The over/under is 8.5. The Mariners have a 39-37-5 over/under mark and a 40-41-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Astros are 38-43-0 against the run line and have a 37-39-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this game with a 42-39 record, and they are 21-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley has a 6-4 record with an ERA of 5.58 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 59 strikeouts during his 80.2 innings pitched and he has given up 89 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.96. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have allowed 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the pen while they've been struck out 293 times and walked 97 times this year. As a unit, Seattle has given up 8.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.88. The Mariners pitchers have collectively given up 698 base hits and 314 earned runs. They have allowed 102 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 242 batters and struck out 693. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Seattle is hitting .263, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .269 average on the road. The Mariners have a .444 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .330 which is good for 10th in the league. They rank 9th in baseball with 9.11 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this game hitting .283 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 85 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 56 runs batted in. He's struck out 82 times and has walked 34 times. Robinson Cano is hitting .301 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 52 times. The Mariners have 738 hits, including 123 doubles and 122 home runs. They've stolen 25 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Seattle has walked 252 times this season and they've struck out 613 times as a unit. They've left 544 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 398 runs so far this year.
Houston comes into this game with a 23-16 home mark and a 43-38 overall record. With an ERA of 3.91, Lance McCullers has a 3-2 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 56 strikeouts over the 46 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 48 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.14 and they have given up 235 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 286 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.15 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 744 base knocks and 321 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 216 hitters and struck out 671. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.81.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Astros hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.41 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .355 and he has an OBP of .428. He has 113 hits this year along with 62 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 33 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .269 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 79 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 79 times. The Astros as a unit have 681 base hits, including 142 doubles and 103 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Houston as a team has walked 320 times this year and they have struck out 761 times. They've had 566 men left on base and have an OPS of .745. They score 4.56 runs per game and have totaled 369 runs so far this season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 39-37-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 40-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 37-39-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 38-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/30/16 P Nick Vincent Back 15-day DL (6/27)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 15-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 15-day DL (6/24)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
07/03/16 LF Colby Rasmus Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Chicago White Sox
07/03/16 P Lance McCullers Finger probable for next scheduled start Monday vs. Seattle Mariners
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
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