Monday, April 4, 2016
Globe Life Park
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Probable Pitchers: Felix Hernandez vs. Cole Hamels
The Seattle Mariners visit Globe Life Park on Monday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are Felix Hernandez for the Mariners and Cole Hamels for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +110 and Texas at -120. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mariners had a 79-76-7 over/under record last season and a 73-89-0 run line mark, meaning they covered 45% of the time. The Rangers were 98-69-0 against the run line and had a 75-81-11 over/under record. They covered the spread 59% of the time.
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The Mariners head into this matchup coming off a 76 - 86 season, including 40-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Felix Hernandez had a 18 - 9 record with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.18. He had 191 strikeouts over his 201.2 innings pitched and he also gave up 180 hits over that time period. He allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.72. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.15 and they gave up 511 base hits on the year. Teams hit .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 480 times and walking 212 times last season. As a team, Seattle allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.89 batters per nine. They were 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Mariners pitchers collectively gave up 1,430 base hits and 677 earned runs last year. They allowed 181 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff walked 491 batters and struck out 1,283. They walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit was 4.14.
As a team, Seattle batted .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Mariners held a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which was good for 21st in baseball. They ranked 18th in baseball with 8.51 hits per game. Nelson Cruz hit .302 last season and his on-base percentage was at .369. He had 178 hits last season along with 90 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He struck out 164 times and walked 59 times. Robinson Cano hit .287 and he had an on-base percentage of .334 last year. He totaled 179 hits while scoring 82 runs and he drove in 79. He walked 43 times and struck out 107 times. The Mariners had 1,379 hits, including 262 doubles, 22 triples, and 198 home runs. They stole 69 bases while they were thrown out stealing 45 times. Seattle walked 478 times last season and they struck out 1,336 times as a unit. They left 1,080 men on base and had a team OPS of .722. They scored 4.05 runs per contest and scored a total of 656 runs last season.
Texas comes into this matchup after having a 43-38 home record and a 88 - 74 overall mark last year. With an earned run average last season of 3.65, Cole Hamels will come into this game after holding a 13 - 8 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He had 215 strikeouts over the 212.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 190 hits. He allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.47. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.12 and they gave up 475 base hits last year. Teams hit .245 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 457 times and walking 201 times last season. As a team, Texas allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.82 batters per nine. They were 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Rangers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,459 base knocks and 680 earned runs last season. They gave up 171 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff walked 508 hitters and struck out 1,095. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 6.8 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.36 while their FIP as a staff was 4.34.
As a team, they hit .256, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Rangers held a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which was good for 8th in baseball. They ranked 10th in baseball with 8.74 hits per contest. Shin-Soo Choo batted .276 last season and he had an OBP of .375. He had 153 hits last year along with 94 runs scored and 82 RBI. He struck out 147 times and walked on 76 occasions. Prince Fielder hit .305 and he had an OBP of .378. He collected 187 hits last year while he scored 78 runs and drove in 98. He earned a walk 64 times and punched out 88 times. The Rangers as a unit had 1,419 base hits last year, including 279 doubles, 32 triples, and 172 homers. They had 101 stolen bases while they were thrown out 39 times. Texas as a team walked 503 times last year and they struck out 1,233 times. They had 1,130 men left on base and had an OPS of .739. They scored 4.64 runs per game and totaled 751 runs last season.
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners were 79-76-7 against the over/under last season
The Seattle Mariners were 73-89-0 against the run line last season
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers were 75-81-11 against the over/under last season
The Texas Rangers were 98-69-0 against the run line last season
Injuries to Watch
04/01/16 P Charlie Furbush Shoulder out indefinitely
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/12)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg Injury is on the 60 day disabled list
03/31/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee out indefinitely
03/31/16 P Yu Darvish Elbow out indefinitely
03/31/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee out indefinitely
Tony's Pick: Take the Rangers
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