Saturday, September 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Mike Leake vs. Jeff Samardzija
The St. Louis Cardinals visit AT&T Park on Saturday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Mike Leake for the Cardinals and Jeff Samardzija for the Giants. The Cardinals have a 77-63-6 over/under record and a 67-79-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Giants are 69-77-0 against the run line and have a 67-74-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Cardinals head into this matchup with a 76-70 record, including 43-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Leake has a 9-10 record with an earned run average of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.29. He has 115 strikeouts over his 162.1 innings pitched and he has given up 184 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.94. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 381 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 443 times and walking 175 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.94 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Cardinals pitchers have collectively given up 1,277 base hits and 589 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 430 batters and struck out 1,154. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.
As a team, St. Louis is batting .253, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Cardinals hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.69 hits per game. Aledmys Diaz comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 112 hits this season along with 65 runs scored and 59 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 36 times. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 145 hits so far while scoring 79 runs and he's driven in 81. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 118 times. The Cardinals have 1,270 hits, including 270 doubles and 207 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 25 times. St. Louis has walked 479 times this season and they've struck out 1,187 times as a unit. They've left 1,007 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 4.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 704 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 39-33 home record and a 78-68 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.07, Jeff Samardzija has a 11-10 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 143 strikeouts over the 183.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 174 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 370 times and walking 157 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,210 base knocks and 544 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 149 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 407 hitters and struck out 1,165. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.87.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Giants hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.88 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 140 hits this year along with 76 runs scored and 64 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 57 occasions. Brandon Crawford is hitting .266 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 136 hits so far while he's scored 62 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 52 times and has punched out 105 times. The Giants as a unit have 1,296 base hits, including 256 doubles and 120 homers. They have 72 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 520 times this year and they have struck out 994 times. They've had 1,071 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.42 runs per game and have totaled 645 runs so far this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 77-63-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 67-79-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 67-74-5 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 69-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
St. Louis Cardinals
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
San Francisco Giants
09/06/16 P Ray Black Elbow 60-day DL (9/3)
08/23/16 LF Gregor Blanco Shoulder 15-day DL (8/22)
07/07/16 P Cory Gearrin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/30/16 P Christopher Heston Oblique 60-day DL (6/29)
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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