Monday, May 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. J.A. Happ
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Rogers Centre on Monday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Drew Smyly for the Rays and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +110 and Toronto at -130. The over/under was set at 8. The Rays have a 10-20-4 over/under record and a 16-18-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Blue Jays are 21-17-0 against the run line and have a 11-24-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 16-18 record, including 6-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 0.92. He has 52 strikeouts over his 44.2 innings pitched and he has given up 33 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 79 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the bullpen while being struck out 87 times and walking 37 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 256 base hits and 122 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 93 batters and struck out 290. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.16 and their FIP as a unit is 3.96.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .223, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Rays hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.35 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .241 and his on-base percentage is at .291. He has 33 hits this season along with 18 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 36 times and has walked 9 times. Steven Souza is hitting .263 and he has an on-base percentage of .317. He has totaled 30 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 45 times. The Rays have 250 hits, including 58 doubles and 47 home runs. They've stolen 16 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Tampa Bay has walked 102 times this season and they've struck out 323 times as a unit. They've left 231 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 3.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 122 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 9-10 home record and a 19-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.05, J.A. Happ has a 5-0 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 48.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 43 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.52 and they have given up 95 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 92 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.21. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 304 base knocks and 122 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 115 hitters and struck out 282. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.84 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .368. He has 39 hits this year along with 33 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 35 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Kevin Pillar is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 39 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 13. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 21 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 298 base hits, including 62 doubles and 45 homers. They have 11 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Toronto as a team has walked 138 times this year and they have struck out 337 times. They've had 252 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They score 4.08 runs per game and have totaled 155 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 10-20-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-18-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-24-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 21-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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