Saturday, June 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Colin Rea
The Washington Nationals visit Petco Park on Saturday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Max Scherzer for the Nationals and Colin Rea for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -202 and San Diego at +187. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 33-28-6 over/under record and a 35-32-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Padres are 40-28-0 against the run line and have a 33-33-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
The Nationals head into this matchup with a 42-25 record, including 22-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer has a 8-4 record with an earned run average of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 118 strikeouts over his 95.1 innings pitched and he has given up 70 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.83. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 144 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen while being struck out 195 times and walking 62 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.58 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.23. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 502 base hits and 218 earned runs. They have allowed 65 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 186 batters and struck out 647. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.42.
As a team, Washington is batting .250, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.46 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .409. He has 52 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 41 runs batted in. He's struck out 45 times and has walked 56 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .359 and he has an on-base percentage of .402. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 28 times. The Nationals have 567 hits, including 105 doubles and 91 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Washington has walked 237 times this season and they've struck out 511 times as a unit. They've left 455 men on base and have a team OPS of .749. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 312 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 16-21 home record and a 27-41 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.37, Colin Rea has a 3-3 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 48 strikeouts over the 65.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 68 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.53. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 238 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 241 times and walking 111 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.89 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.26 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 605 base knocks and 308 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 270 hitters and struck out 562. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Padres hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.15 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 74 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 40 RBI. He's struck out 59 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .292 and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 76 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 15 times and has punched out 61 times. The Padres as a unit have 554 base hits, including 111 doubles and 71 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. San Diego as a team has walked 166 times this year and they have struck out 615 times. They've had 418 men left on base and have an OPS of .679. They score 4.01 runs per game and have totaled 273 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 33-28-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 35-32-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 33-33-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 40-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
San Diego Padres
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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