Wednesday, March 29, 2017
Maryvale Baseball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Matt Shoemaker vs. Zach Davies
The Los Angeles Angels visit Maryvale Baseball Park on Wednesday, March 29, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Matt Shoemaker for the Angels and Zach Davies for the Brewers.
The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at +105 and Milwaukee at -125. The Angels had a 71-84-7 over/under record and a 77-85-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 48% of the time. The Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line and had a 74-79-9 over/under record. They covered the spread 53% of the time.
Valuable Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Angels were 71-84-7 against the over/under last season
The Los Angeles Angels were 77-85-0 against the run line last season
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers were 74-79-9 against the over/under last season
The Milwaukee Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line last season
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
3/27/2017 Dustin Ackley 2B Shoulder Questionable for start of season
3/27/2017 Andrelton Simmons SS Back Questionable for start of season
3/26/2017 Huston Street RP Back Questionable for start of season
3/23/2017 Brandon Marsh OF Undisclosed Questionable for start of season
3/23/2017 Luis Valbuena 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Apr 28
2/17/2017 John Lamb SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
11/8/2016 Andrew Heaney SP Elbow Out for the season
11/8/2016 Nick Tropeano SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
3/25/2017 Tyrone Taylor CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Apr 22
3/24/2017 Andrew Susac C Neck Questionable for start of season
3/23/2017 Devin Williams SP Elbow Out for the season
3/8/2017 Yhonathan Barrios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
12/9/2016 Phil Bickford SP Suspension Suspended until May 28
10/29/2016 Sean Nolin SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2016 Adrian Houser SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Angels are coming off a 74-88 record in 2016, including 34-47 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Shoemaker had a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.23. He had 143 strikeouts over his 160 innings pitched and he gave up 166 hits last season. He allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.77 and they gave up 538 base hits on the year. Teams hit .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 437 times and walking 189 times last season. As a team, Los Angeles allowed 7.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.35 batters per nine innings. They were 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70. The Angels pitchers collectively gave up 1,480 base hits and 676 earned runs. They allowed 208 home runs last season and they allowed 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff walked 498 batters and struck out 1,136. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit was 4.62.
For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other MLB games check out our handicapping tips.
As a team Los Angeles batted .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .246 average away from home. The Angels held a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which was good for 18th in baseball. They ranked 22nd in baseball with 8.49 hits per game. Mike Trout is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .315 with an on-base percentage of .441. He had 173 hits last season along with 123 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He struck out 137 times and walked 116 times. Yunel Escobar hit .304 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .355. He totaled 157 hits while scoring 68 runs and he drove in 39. He walked 40 times and struck out on 67 occasions. The Angels had 1,410 hits, including 279 doubles and 156 home runs. They stole 73 bases and were thrown out stealing 34 times. Los Angeles walked 471 times last season and they struck out 991 times as a unit. They left 1,037 men on base and had a team OPS of .726. They scored 4.43 runs per contest and scored a total of 717 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee had a 41-40 home record and a 73-89 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.97, Zach Davies had a 11-7 record and a 1.25 WHIP last season. He had 135 strikeouts over the 163.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 166 hits. He allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.89. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.61 and they gave up 528 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 493 times and walking 210 times last season. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine innings. They were 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Brewers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 650 earned runs last season. They gave up 178 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff walked 532 hitters and struck out 1,175. They gave up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.37.
As a team, they batted .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Brewers held a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 12th in baseball. They ranked 29th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup after batting .285 with an OBP of .369. He had 168 hits last year along with 92 runs scored and 63 RBI. He struck out 174 times and walked on 79 occasions. Ryan Braun hit .305 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .365. He collected 156 hits while scoring 80 runs and driving in 91. He earned a walk 46 times and punched out 98 times. The Brewers as a unit had 1,299 base hits, including 249 doubles and 194 homers. They had 181 stolen bases and were thrown out 56 times. Milwaukee as a team walked 599 times last year and they struck out 1,543 times. They had 1,071 men left on base and had an OPS of .729. They scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 671 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Angels/Brewers MLB game against the moneyline?
Guy's Pick: Take the Angels +105
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks