Thursday, March 16, 2017

Maryvale Baseball Park

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Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Matt Garza

The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Maryvale Baseball Park on Thursday, March 16, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Robbie Ray for the Diamondbacks and Matt Garza for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +105 and Milwaukee at -125. The Diamondbacks had a 89-67-6 over/under record and a 67-95-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 41% of the time. The Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line and had a 74-79-9 over/under record. They covered the spread 53% of the time.

The Diamondbacks are coming off a 69-93 record in 2016, including 36-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray had a 8-15 record with an earned run average of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.47. He had 218 strikeouts over his 174.1 innings pitched and he gave up 185 hits last season. He allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.76. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 4.94 and they gave up 583 base hits on the year. Teams hit .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 520 times and walking 260 times last season. As a team, Arizona allowed 9.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.17 batters per nine innings. They were 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively gave up 1,563 base hits and 821 earned runs. They allowed 202 home runs last season and they allowed 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff walked 603 batters and struck out 1,318. They walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit was 4.50.

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As a team Arizona batted .261, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Diamondbacks held a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which was good for 17th in baseball. They ranked 4th in baseball with 9.13 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .297 with an on-base percentage of .411. He had 172 hits last season along with 106 runs scored and 95 runs batted in. He struck out 150 times and walked 110 times. Yasmany Tomas hit .272 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .313. He totaled 144 hits while scoring 72 runs and he drove in 83. He walked 31 times and struck out on 136 occasions. The Diamondbacks had 1,479 hits, including 285 doubles and 190 home runs. They stole 137 bases and were thrown out stealing 31 times. Arizona walked 463 times last season and they struck out 1,427 times as a unit. They left 1,113 men on base and had a team OPS of .752. They scored 4.64 runs per contest and scored a total of 752 runs last year.

Milwaukee had a 41-40 home record and a 73-89 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 4.51, Matt Garza had a 6-8 record and a 1.51 WHIP last season. He had 70 strikeouts over the 101.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 117 hits. He allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.33. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.61 and they gave up 528 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 493 times and walking 210 times last season. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine innings. They were 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Brewers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 650 earned runs last season. They gave up 178 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff walked 532 hitters and struck out 1,175. They gave up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.37.

As a team, they batted .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Brewers held a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 12th in baseball. They ranked 29th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup after batting .305 with an OBP of .365. He had 156 hits last year along with 80 runs scored and 91 RBI. He struck out 98 times and walked on 46 occasions. Jonathan Villar hit .285 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .369. He collected 168 hits while scoring 92 runs and driving in 63. He earned a walk 79 times and punched out 174 times. The Brewers as a unit had 1,299 base hits, including 249 doubles and 194 homers. They had 181 stolen bases and were thrown out 56 times. Milwaukee as a team walked 599 times last year and they struck out 1,543 times. They had 1,071 men left on base and had an OPS of .729. They scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 671 runs last season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks were 89-67-6 against the over/under last season

The Arizona Diamondbacks were 67-95-0 against the run line last season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers were 74-79-9 against the over/under last season

The Milwaukee Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line last season

Injuries to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

No key injuries to report

Milwaukee Brewers

No key injuries to report

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks +105

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