Tuesday, March 28, 2017
Maryvale Baseball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Corey Kluber vs. Junior Guerra
The Cleveland Indians visit Maryvale Baseball Park on Tuesday, March 28, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Corey Kluber for the Indians and Junior Guerra for the Brewers.
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The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -115 and Milwaukee at -105. The Indians had a 80-70-11 over/under record and a 75-86-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 47% of the time. The Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line and had a 74-79-9 over/under record. They covered the spread 53% of the time.
Valuable Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians were 80-70-11 against the over/under last season
The Cleveland Indians were 75-86-0 against the run line last season
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers were 74-79-9 against the over/under last season
The Milwaukee Brewers were 86-76-0 against the run line last season
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
3/25/2017 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Shoulder Questionable for start of season
3/24/2017 Jason Kipnis 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Apr 13
3/24/2017 Nellie Rodriguez 1B Ankle Questionable for start of season
3/20/2017 Tim Cooney SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least May 6
3/19/2017 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season
3/11/2017 Mark Mathias 2B Shoulder Questionable for start of season
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
3/25/2017 Tyrone Taylor CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Apr 22
3/24/2017 Andrew Susac C Neck Questionable for start of season
3/23/2017 Devin Williams SP Elbow Out for the season
3/8/2017 Yhonathan Barrios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
12/9/2016 Phil Bickford SP Suspension Suspended until May 28
10/29/2016 Sean Nolin SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/21/2016 Adrian Houser SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Indians are coming off a 94-67 record in 2016, including 41-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Corey Kluber had a 18-9 record with an earned run average of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.06. He had 227 strikeouts over his 215 innings pitched and he gave up 170 hits last season. He allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.26. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.45 and they gave up 443 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times last season. As a team, Cleveland allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine innings. They were 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers collectively gave up 1,330 base hits and 617 earned runs. They allowed 186 home runs last season and they allowed 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff walked 461 batters and struck out 1,398. They walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit was 3.91.
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As a team Cleveland batted .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Indians held a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which was good for 8th in baseball. They ranked 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Francisco Lindor is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .301 with an on-base percentage of .358. He had 182 hits last season along with 99 runs scored and 78 runs batted in. He struck out 88 times and walked 57 times. Jason Kipnis hit .275 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .343. He totaled 168 hits while scoring 91 runs and he drove in 82. He walked 60 times and struck out on 146 occasions. The Indians had 1,435 hits, including 308 doubles and 185 home runs. They stole 134 bases and were thrown out stealing 31 times. Cleveland walked 531 times last season and they struck out 1,246 times as a unit. They left 1,084 men on base and had a team OPS of .759. They scored 4.83 runs per contest and scored a total of 777 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee had a 41-40 home record and a 73-89 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 2.81, Junior Guerra had a 9-3 record and a 1.13 WHIP last season. He had 100 strikeouts over the 121.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 94 hits. He allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.71. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.61 and they gave up 528 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 493 times and walking 210 times last season. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 batters per nine innings. They were 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Brewers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,450 base knocks and 650 earned runs last season. They gave up 178 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff walked 532 hitters and struck out 1,175. They gave up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.37.
As a team, they batted .244, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Brewers held a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 12th in baseball. They ranked 29th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup after batting .285 with an OBP of .369. He had 168 hits last year along with 92 runs scored and 63 RBI. He struck out 174 times and walked on 79 occasions. Ryan Braun hit .305 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .365. He collected 156 hits while scoring 80 runs and driving in 91. He earned a walk 46 times and punched out 98 times. The Brewers as a unit had 1,299 base hits, including 249 doubles and 194 homers. They had 181 stolen bases and were thrown out 56 times. Milwaukee as a team walked 599 times last year and they struck out 1,543 times. They had 1,071 men left on base and had an OPS of .729. They scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 671 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Indians/Brewers MLB game against the moneyline?
Guy's Pick: Take the Indians -115
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