Monday, March 13, 2017

Camelback Ranch

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Probable Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco vs. Carson Fulmer

The Cleveland Indians visit Camelback Ranch on Monday, March 13, 2017 to play the Chicago White Sox in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Carlos Carrasco for the Indians and Carson Fulmer for the White Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Cleveland at -115 and Chicago at -105. The Indians had a 80-70-11 over/under record and a 75-86-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 47% of the time. The White Sox were 83-79-0 against the run line and had a 79-76-7 over/under record. They covered the spread 51% of the time.

The Indians are coming off a 94-67 record in 2016, including 41-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco had a 11-8 record with an earned run average of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.15. He had 150 strikeouts over his 146.1 innings pitched and he gave up 134 hits last season. He allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.72. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.45 and they gave up 443 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 514 times and walking 190 times last season. As a team, Cleveland allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.71 batters per nine innings. They were 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers collectively gave up 1,330 base hits and 617 earned runs. They allowed 186 home runs last season and they allowed 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a pitching staff walked 461 batters and struck out 1,398. They walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit was 3.91.

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As a team Cleveland batted .262, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Indians held a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which was good for 8th in baseball. They ranked 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Jason Kipnis is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .275 with an on-base percentage of .343. He had 168 hits last season along with 91 runs scored and 82 runs batted in. He struck out 146 times and walked 60 times. Francisco Lindor hit .301 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .358. He totaled 182 hits while scoring 99 runs and he drove in 78. He walked 57 times and struck out on 88 occasions. The Indians had 1,435 hits, including 308 doubles and 185 home runs. They stole 134 bases and were thrown out stealing 31 times. Cleveland walked 531 times last season and they struck out 1,246 times as a unit. They left 1,084 men on base and had a team OPS of .759. They scored 4.83 runs per contest and scored a total of 777 runs last year.

Chicago had a 45-36 home record and a 78-84 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 8.49, Carson Fulmer had a 0-2 record and a 1.63 WHIP last season. He had 10 strikeouts over the 11.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 12 hits. He allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 5.98. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.68 and they gave up 444 base hits on the year. Teams hit .246 against the White Sox bullpen while being struck out 434 times and walking 222 times last season. As a team, Chicago allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They were 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The White Sox pitchers as a team surrendered 1,422 base knocks and 659 earned runs last season. They gave up 185 home runs last year and they gave up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff walked 521 hitters and struck out 1,270. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.34 while their FIP as a staff was 4.28.

As a team, they batted .257, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The White Sox held a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which was good for 20th in baseball. They ranked 11th in baseball with 8.81 hits per contest. Melky Cabrera comes into this matchup after batting .296 with an OBP of .345. He had 175 hits last year along with 70 runs scored and 86 RBI. He struck out 69 times and walked on 47 occasions. Jose Abreu hit .293 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .353. He collected 183 hits while scoring 67 runs and driving in 100. He earned a walk 47 times and punched out 125 times. The White Sox as a unit had 1,428 base hits, including 277 doubles and 168 homers. They had 77 stolen bases and were thrown out 36 times. Chicago as a team walked 455 times last year and they struck out 1,285 times. They had 1,105 men left on base and had an OPS of .727. They scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 686 runs last season.

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians were 80-70-11 against the over/under last season

The Cleveland Indians were 75-86-0 against the run line last season

Chicago White Sox Betting Trends

The Chicago White Sox were 79-76-7 against the over/under last season

The Chicago White Sox were 83-79-0 against the run line last season

Injuries to Watch

Cleveland Indians

No key injuries to report

Chicago White Sox

No key injuries to report

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians -115

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