Mets at Astros 3/8/2017 Free Spring Training Picks & Predictions
by Tony Sink - 3/7/2017
Wednesday, March 8, 2017
The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches
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Probable Pitchers: Robert Gsellman vs. Charlie Morton
The New York Mets visit The Ballpark of the Palm Beaches on Wednesday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Robert Gsellman for the Mets and Charlie Morton for the Astros.
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The Mets are coming off a 87-75 record in 2016, including 43-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Robert Gsellman had a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.28. He had 42 strikeouts over his 44.2 innings pitched and he gave up 42 hits last season. He allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 2.63. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.53 and they gave up 472 base hits on the year. Teams hit .234 against the bullpen while being struck out 569 times and walking 189 times last season. As a team, New York allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They were 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers collectively gave up 1,398 base hits and 575 earned runs. They allowed 152 home runs last season and they allowed 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff walked 439 batters and struck out 1,396. They walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit was 3.57.
As a team New York batted .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Mets held a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 26th in baseball with 8.28 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes is coming off a 2016 in which he hit .280 with an on-base percentage of .354. He had 134 hits last season along with 72 runs scored and 86 runs batted in. He struck out 108 times and walked 51 times. Asdrubal Cabrera hit .280 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .336. He totaled 146 hits while scoring 65 runs and he drove in 62. He walked 38 times and struck out on 103 occasions. The Mets had 1,342 hits, including 240 doubles and 218 home runs. They stole 42 bases and were thrown out stealing 18 times. New York walked 517 times last season and they struck out 1,302 times as a unit. They left 1,120 men on base and had a team OPS of .733. They scored 4.14 runs per contest and scored a total of 671 runs last year.
Houston had a 43-38 home record and a 84-78 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 4.15, Charlie Morton had a 1-1 record and a 1.33 WHIP last season. He had 19 strikeouts over the 17.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 15 hits. He allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.09. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.56 and they gave up 475 base hits on the year. Teams hit .227 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 617 times and walking 153 times last season. As a team, Houston allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They were 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Astros pitchers as a team surrendered 1,441 base knocks and 663 earned runs last season. They gave up 181 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff walked 453 hitters and struck out 1,396. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.29 while their FIP as a staff was 3.85.
As a team, they batted .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Astros held a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which was good for 19th in baseball. They ranked 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. George Springer comes into this matchup after batting .261 with an OBP of .359. He had 168 hits last year along with 116 runs scored and 82 RBI. He struck out 178 times and walked on 88 occasions. Jose Altuve hit .338 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .396. He collected 216 hits while scoring 108 runs and driving in 96. He earned a walk 60 times and punched out 70 times. The Astros as a unit had 1,367 base hits, including 291 doubles and 198 homers. They had 102 stolen bases and were thrown out 44 times. Houston as a team walked 554 times last year and they struck out 1,452 times. They had 1,086 men left on base and had an OPS of .735. They scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 724 runs last season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets were 74-85-3 against the over/under last season
The New York Mets were 76-86-0 against the run line last season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros were 73-81-8 against the over/under last season
The Houston Astros were 72-90-0 against the run line last season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
No key injuries to report
No key injuries to report
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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