Monday, March 20, 2017

JetBlue Park

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Probable Pitchers: Wade Miley vs. Kyle Kendrick

The Baltimore Orioles visit JetBlue Park on Monday, March 20, 2017 to play the Boston Red Sox in a Spring Training matchup. The probable starters are Wade Miley for the Orioles and Kyle Kendrick for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +110 and Boston at -130. The Orioles had a 67-91-4 over/under record and a 82-80-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 51% of the time. The Red Sox were 83-79-0 against the run line and had a 77-78-7 over/under record. They covered the spread 51% of the time.

The Orioles are coming off a 89-73 record in 2016, including 39-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Wade Miley had a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.42. He had 137 strikeouts over his 166 innings pitched and he gave up 187 hits last season. He allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.45. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.40 and they gave up 495 base hits on the year. Teams hit .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 506 times and walking 209 times last season. As a team, Baltimore allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.84 batters per nine innings. They were 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Orioles pitchers collectively gave up 1,408 base hits and 671 earned runs. They allowed 183 home runs last season and they allowed 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a pitching staff walked 545 batters and struck out 1,248. They walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit was 4.31.

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As a team Baltimore batted .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Orioles held a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which was good for 21st in baseball. They ranked 14th in baseball with 8.73 hits per game. Adam Jones is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .265 with an on-base percentage of .310. He had 164 hits last season along with 86 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He struck out 115 times and walked 39 times. Manny Machado hit .294 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .343. He totaled 188 hits while scoring 105 runs and he drove in 96. He walked 48 times and struck out on 120 occasions. The Orioles had 1,413 hits, including 265 doubles and 253 home runs. They stole 19 bases and were thrown out stealing 13 times. Baltimore walked 468 times last season and they struck out 1,324 times as a unit. They left 1,065 men on base and had a team OPS of .760. They scored 4.59 runs per contest and scored a total of 744 runs last year.

Boston had a 47-34 home record and a 93-69 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 6.32, Kyle Kendrick had a 7-13 record and a 1.53 WHIP last season. He had 80 strikeouts over the 142.1 innings he pitched during which he gave up 172 hits. He allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 6.12. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.56 and they gave up 411 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 507 times and walking 193 times last season. As a team, Boston allowed 8.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine innings. They were 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Red Sox pitchers as a team surrendered 1,341 base knocks and 640 earned runs last season. They gave up 176 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff walked 490 hitters and struck out 1,362. They gave up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.27 while their FIP as a staff was 4.00.

As a team, they batted .282, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .300 average at home. The Red Sox held a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 1st in baseball with 9.86 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup after batting .294 with an OBP of .356. He had 192 hits last year along with 115 runs scored and 89 RBI. He struck out 123 times and walked on 58 occasions. Mookie Betts hit .318 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .363. He collected 214 hits while scoring 122 runs and driving in 113. He earned a walk 49 times and punched out 80 times. The Red Sox as a unit had 1,598 base hits, including 343 doubles and 208 homers. They had 83 stolen bases and were thrown out 24 times. Boston as a team walked 558 times last year and they struck out 1,160 times. They had 1,162 men left on base and had an OPS of .810. They scored 5.42 runs per game and totaled 878 runs last season.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles were 67-91-4 against the over/under last season

The Baltimore Orioles were 82-80-0 against the run line last season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 77-78-7 against the over/under last season

The Boston Red Sox were 83-79-0 against the run line last season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

No key injuries to report

Boston Red Sox

No key injuries to report

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +110

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