Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Florida Auto Exchange Stadium

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Probable Pitchers: Daniel Norris vs. Marco Estrada

The Detroit Tigers head Florida Auto Exchange Stadium on Wednesday, March 22, 2017 to take on the Toronto Blue Jays in a Spring Training game. The starters are Daniel Norris for the Tigers and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays.

The opening line for this game has Detroit at +110 and Toronto at -130. The Tigers had a 80-73-8 over/under record and a 86-75-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 53% of the time. The Blue Jays were 79-83-0 against the run line and had a 63-93-6 over/under record. They covered the spread 49% of the time.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 80-73-8 against the over/under last season

The Detroit Tigers were 86-75-0 against the run line last season

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays were 63-93-6 against the over/under last season

The Toronto Blue Jays were 79-83-0 against the run line last season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

No key injuries to report

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers are coming off a 86-75 record in 2016, including 41-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Daniel Norris had a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.40. He had 71 strikeouts over his 69.1 innings pitched and he gave up 75 hits last season. He allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.93. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 4.22 and they gave up 503 base hits on the year. Teams hit .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 181 times last season. As a team, Detroit allowed 8.93 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.76 batters per nine innings. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Tigers pitchers collectively gave up 1,417 base hits and 672 earned runs. They allowed 182 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff walked 462 batters and struck out 1,232. They walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit was 4.16.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit batted .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .260 average away from home. The Tigers held a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which was good for 5th in baseball. They ranked 3rd in baseball with 9.17 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .316 with an on-base percentage of .393. He had 188 hits last season along with 92 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He struck out 116 times and walked 75 times. Ian Kinsler hit .288 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .348. He totaled 178 hits while scoring 117 runs and he drove in 83. He walked 45 times and struck out on 115 occasions. The Tigers had 1,476 hits, including 252 doubles and 211 home runs. They stole 58 bases and were thrown out stealing 29 times. Detroit walked 493 times last season and they struck out 1,303 times as a unit. They left 1,105 men on base and had a team OPS of .769. They scored 4.66 runs per contest and scored a total of 750 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto had a 46-35 home record and a 89-73 overall mark in 2016. With an earned run average of 3.48, Marco Estrada had a 9-9 record and a 1.12 WHIP last season. He had 165 strikeouts over the 176 innings he pitched during which he gave up 132 hits. He allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.15. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 4.11 and they gave up 452 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 472 times and walking 136 times last season. As a team, Toronto allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They were 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 613 earned runs last season. They gave up 183 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff walked 461 hitters and struck out 1,314. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.23 while their FIP as a staff was 4.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Blue Jays held a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which was good for 6th in baseball. They ranked 24th in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup after batting .284 with an OBP of .404. He had 164 hits last year along with 122 runs scored and 99 RBI. He struck out 119 times and walked on 109 occasions. Justin Smoak hit .217 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .314. He collected 65 hits while scoring 33 runs and driving in 34. He earned a walk 40 times and punched out 112 times. The Blue Jays as a unit had 1,358 base hits, including 276 doubles and 221 homers. They had 54 stolen bases and were thrown out 24 times. Toronto as a team walked 632 times last year and they struck out 1,362 times. They had 1,120 men left on base and had an OPS of .755. They scored 4.69 runs per game and totaled 759 runs last season.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays -130

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