Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros 4/2/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, April 2, 2018

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Tillman vs. Charlie Morton

The Baltimore Orioles visit Minute Maid Park on Monday, April 2, 2018 to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Chris Tillman for the Orioles and Charlie Morton for the Astros.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +188 and Houston at -203. The Orioles had a 80-78-4 over/under record and a 73-89-0 run line mark last season. The Astros were 93-87-0 against the run line and had a 89-81-10 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles were 80-78-4 against the over/under last year

The Baltimore Orioles were 73-89-0 against the run line last season

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros were 89-81-10 against the over/under last year

The Houston Astros were 93-87-0 against the run line last season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

03/29/18 P Gabriel Ynoa Shin 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 DH Mark Trumbo Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Zach Britton Achilles 60-day DL (02/15)

Key Houston Astros Injuries

03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 1B Yulieski Gurriel Suspension 5-game suspension (eligible to return 04/03 vs Baltimore)
03/26/18 P James Hoyt Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles had a 75-87 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Chris Tillman had a 1-7 record with an earned run average of 7.84 and a WHIP of 1.89. He had 63 strikeouts over his 93 innings pitched and he gave up 125 hits. He allowed 12.1 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 6.93. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.93 and they gave up 569 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the bullpen while striking out 505 hitters and walking 227 batters. As a team, Baltimore allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They were 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Orioles pitchers collectively gave up 1,505 base hits and 795 earned runs last year. They allowed 242 home runs last season, ranking them 2nd in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff walked 579 batters and struck out 1,233. They walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit was 4.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore hit .260, good for 8th in the league. The Orioles held a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which was good for 26th in baseball. They ranked 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Adam Jones hit .285 with an on-base percentage of .322 last year. He had 170 hits last season in 597 at bats with 73 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .466 and an OPS+ of 109. Manny Machado hit .259 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .310. He totaled 163 hits and he drove in 95 men in 630 at bats. His OPS+ was 107 while his slugging percentage was at .471. The Orioles had 1,469 hits last season, including 269 doubles and 232 home runs. Baltimore walked 392 times last year and they struck out 1,412 times as a unit. They left 1,041 men on base and had a team OPS of .747. They scored 4.59 runs per contest and scored a total of 743 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston had a 101-61 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.62, Charlie Morton had a 14-7 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He had 163 strikeouts over the 146.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 125 hits. He allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.46. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.27 and they gave up 485 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers struck out 662 batters and walked 213 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They were 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Astros pitchers as a team surrendered 1,314 base knocks and 662 earned runs last season. They gave up 192 home runs last year, which ranked 20th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff walked 522 hitters and struck out 1,593 batters. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.27 while their FIP as a staff was 3.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .282, good for 1st in the league. The Astros held a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup after batting .346 with an OBP of .410 last season. He had 204 hits last year along with 81 RBI in 590 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .547 with an OPS+ of 164. Carlos Correa hit .315 last season and he had an OBP of .391. He collected 133 hits in 422 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He had an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .550. The Astros as a unit had 1,581 base hits last season, including 346 doubles and 238 homers. Houston walked 509 times last year and they struck out on 1,087 occasions. They left 1,094 men on base and had an OPS of .823. They scored 5.53 runs per game and totaled 896 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +188

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