New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays 3/29/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, March 29, 2018

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. J.A. Happ

The New York Yankees visit Rogers Centre on Thursday, March 29, 2018 to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Luis Severino for the Yankees and J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at -140 and Toronto at +130. The Yankees had a 89-82-4 over/under record and a 98-77-0 run line mark last season. The Blue Jays were 76-86-0 against the run line and had a 72-83-7 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees were 89-82-4 against the over/under last year

The New York Yankees were 98-77-0 against the run line last season

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays were 72-83-7 against the over/under last year

The Toronto Blue Jays were 76-86-0 against the run line last season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

03/26/18 LF Clint Frazier Concussion is out indefinitely
03/26/18 1B Greg Bird Ankle is out indefinitely
03/26/18 CF Jacoby Ellsbury Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

03/26/18 SS Troy Tulowitzki Foot is out indefinitely

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees had a 91-71 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Luis Severino had a 14-6 record with an earned run average of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.04. He had 230 strikeouts over his 193.1 innings pitched and he gave up 150 hits. He allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.08. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.34 and they gave up 402 base hits on the year. Teams hit .201 against the bullpen while striking out 653 hitters and walking 225 batters. As a team, New York allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They were 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.72. The Yankees pitchers collectively gave up 1,248 base hits and 599 earned runs last year. They allowed 192 home runs last season, ranking them 19th in the league. New York as a pitching staff walked 504 batters and struck out 1,560. They walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit was 3.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York hit .262, good for 7th in the league. The Yankees held a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which was good for 2nd in baseball. They ranked 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Aaron Judge hit .284 with an on-base percentage of .422 last year. He had 154 hits last season in 542 at bats with 114 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .627 and an OPS+ of 171. Giancarlo Stanton hit .281 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .376. He totaled 168 hits and he drove in 132 men in 597 at bats. His OPS+ was 165 while his slugging percentage was at .631. The Yankees had 1,463 hits last season, including 266 doubles and 241 home runs. New York walked 616 times last year and they struck out 1,386 times as a unit. They left 1,184 men on base and had a team OPS of .785. They scored 5.3 runs per contest and scored a total of 858 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto had a 76-86 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.53, J.A. Happ had a 10-11 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He had 142 strikeouts over the 145.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 145 hits. He allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.76. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.21 and they gave up 539 base hits on the year. Teams hit .237 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers struck out 636 batters and walked 212 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They were 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team surrendered 1,460 base knocks and 720 earned runs last season. They gave up 203 home runs last year, which ranked 13th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff walked 549 hitters and struck out 1,372 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.37 while their FIP as a staff was 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .240, good for 29th in the league. The Blue Jays held a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which was good for 27th in baseball. They ranked 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup after batting .270 with an OBP of .385 last season. He had 112 hits last year along with 78 RBI in 415 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .559 with an OPS+ of 144. Justin Smoak hit .270 last season and he had an OBP of .355. He collected 151 hits in 560 at bats while driving in 90 runs. He had an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .529. The Blue Jays as a unit had 1,320 base hits last season, including 269 doubles and 222 homers. Toronto walked 542 times last year and they struck out on 1,327 occasions. They left 1,064 men on base and had an OPS of .724. They scored 4.28 runs per game and totaled 693 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +130

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