Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 9/25/2019

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gabriel Ynoa vs. Jacob Waguespack

Rogers Centre is the site where Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays (64-93, 4th in AL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (51-106, 5th in AL East) on Wednesday. The Blue Jays open this game at -160 while the Orioles are coming in at +150. The over/under is set at 10.

The Orioles have been a dicey option for bettors, having gone 51-106-0 SU. Toronto covers 40.8% of the time, going 64-93-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a decent Over pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 78-68-11.

The Orioles cover 34.2% of the time on the road, having gone 26-50-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

Toronto covers 42.1% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 32-44-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a decent Over pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 73-77-7.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/23/2019 Mason Williams CF Knee Probable for Sep 24
9/19/2019 Hunter Harvey RP Rest Out for the season
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/24/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Illness Out for the season
9/24/2019 Bo Bichette SS Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 51-106 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gabriel Ynoa has a 1-9 record with an earned run average of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 62 strikeouts over his 106.2 innings pitched and he's given up 122 hits. He's allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.84 and they have given up 678 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 288 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.66. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,506 base hits and 881 earned runs. They have allowed 299 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 546 batters and struck out 1,203. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.61.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .246, good for 19th in the league. The Orioles hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 167 hits this season in 583 at bats with 93 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .530 and an OPS+ of 132. Jonathan Villar is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 170 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 618 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .460. The Orioles have 1,333 hits, including 243 doubles and 205 home runs. Baltimore has walked 438 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,384 times as a unit. They have left 1,023 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 699 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 64-93 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.75, Jacob Waguespack has a 4-5 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 72 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 651 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 704 batters and walked 308 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,406 base knocks and 745 earned runs this season. They have given up 221 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 584 hitters and struck out 1,276 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.85.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .285. He has 135 hits this year along with 79 RBI in 572 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .463 with an OPS+ of 96. Justin Smoak is hitting .204 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 83 hits in 407 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .400. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,265 base hits, including 260 doubles and 239 homers. Toronto has walked 493 times this year and they have struck out on 1,466 occasions. They have had 974 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They have scored 4.49 runs per game and totaled 705 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+150)

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