Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 3/28/2019

Thursday, March 28, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmermann vs. Marcus Stroman

The Detroit Tigers visit Rogers Centre on Thursday, March 28, 2019 to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays.

The opening line for this matchup has Detroit at +150 and Toronto at -160. The Tigers had a 71-83-8 over/under record and a 82-80-0 run line mark last season. The Blue Jays were 73-89-0 against the run line and had a 82-72-8 over/under record.

Valuable Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 71-83-8 against the over/under last year

The Detroit Tigers were 82-80-0 against the run line last season

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays were 82-72-8 against the over/under last year

The Toronto Blue Jays were 73-89-0 against the run line last season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

03/25/19 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 CF JaCoby Jones Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

03/27/19 CF Dalton Pompey Concussion 7-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P David Phelps Elbow is out indefinitely
03/25/19 2B Devon Travis Knee is out indefinitely
03/25/19 P Ryan Tepera Elbow is out indefinitely

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Tigers had a 64-98 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Jordan Zimmermann had a 7-8 record with an earned run average of 4.52 and a WHIP of 1.26. He had 111 strikeouts over his 131.1 innings pitched and he gave up 140 hits. He allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.52 and they gave up 578 base hits on the year. Teams hit .255 against the bullpen while striking out 510 hitters and walking 221 batters. As a team, Detroit allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They were 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Tigers pitchers collectively gave up 1,423 base hits and 726 earned runs last year. They allowed 216 home runs last season, ranking them 4th in the league. Detroit as a pitching staff walked 491 batters and struck out 1,215. They walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit was 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Detroit hit .242, good for 20th in the league. The Tigers held a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which was good for 27th in baseball. They ranked 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Josh Harrison hit .250 with an on-base percentage of .293 last year. He had 86 hits last season in 344 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .363 and an OPS+ of 80. Nick Castellanos hit .298 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .354. He totaled 185 hits and he drove in 89 men in 620 at bats. His OPS+ was 130 while his slugging percentage was at .500. The Tigers had 1,327 hits last season, including 284 doubles and 135 home runs. Detroit walked 428 times last year and they struck out 1,341 times as a unit. They left 1,071 men on base and had a team OPS of .680. They scored 3.89 runs per contest and scored a total of 630 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto had a 73-89 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.54, Marcus Stroman had a 4-9 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He had 77 strikeouts over the 102.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 115 hits. He allowed 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.92. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.45 and they gave up 601 base hits on the year. Teams hit .259 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers struck out 599 batters and walked 222 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They were 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team surrendered 1,475 base knocks and 772 earned runs last season. They gave up 208 home runs last year, which ranked 5th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff walked 551 hitters and struck out 1,298 batters. They gave up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.41 while their FIP as a staff was 4.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .244, good for 19th in the league. The Blue Jays held a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which was good for 21st in baseball. They ranked 19th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Justin Smoak comes into this matchup after batting .242 with an OBP of .350 last season. He had 122 hits last year along with 77 RBI in 505 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 122. Kevin Pillar hit .252 last season and he had an OBP of .282. He collected 129 hits in 512 at bats while driving in 59 runs. He had an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .426. The Blue Jays as a unit had 1,336 base hits last season, including 320 doubles and 217 homers. Toronto walked 499 times last year and they struck out on 1,387 occasions. They left 1,036 men on base and had an OPS of .739. They scored 4.38 runs per game and totaled 709 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +150

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