Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Expert MLB Picks 10/15/2019
Tuesday, October 15, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Gerrit Cole vs. Luis Severino
Yankee Stadium is the site where DJ LeMahieu and the New York Yankees will play the Houston Astros on Tuesday in Game 3 of the ALCS. The Astros were able to tie the series at 1-1 with a 3-2 win in Game 2 in 11 innings. Carlos Correa hit a walk-off home run to seal the win for Houston. Justin Verlander pitched 6.1 innings, giving up 2 earned runs with 7 strikeouts. The Yankees open this game at +145 while the Astros are coming in at -155. The total opens at 7.5.
The Astros have been a very good pick for baseball bettors, having gone 111-58-0 SU. New York is covering 64.1% of the time, going 107-60-0 straight up.
Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have been a less than ideal Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 74-88-7.
Houston is covering 55.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 45-36-0 straight up.
Important New York Yankees Betting Trends
New York is covering 71.1% of the time at Yankee Stadium, going 59-24-0 SU.
The Yankees have been a less than ideal Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 86-75-6.
Key Houston Astros Injuries
9/27/2019 Aaron Sanchez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2020
9/17/2019 Collin McHugh RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
Key New York Yankees Injuries
10/14/2019 Jonathan Holder RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Oct 15
10/13/2019 Giancarlo Stanton LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Oct 15
9/19/2019 Greg Bird 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/18/2019 Dellin Betances RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/10/2019 Mike Tauchman LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Oct 21
9/8/2019 Jacoby Ellsbury CF Foot Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
9/1/2019 Jake Barrett RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Mar 1, 2020
5/21/2019 Miguel Andujar DH Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2020
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Astros have a 107-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has a 20-5 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 0.90 this season. He has 326 strikeouts over his 212.1 innings pitched and he's given up 142 hits. He's allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 470 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 608 hitters and walked 197 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,205 base hits and 595 earned runs. They have allowed 230 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 448 batters and struck out 1,671. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.
Related: How to Bet Parlays
As a team Houston is hitting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. George Springer is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .383. He has 140 hits this season in 479 at bats with 96 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .591 and an OPS+ of 150. Jose Altuve is hitting .298 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 149 hits and he has driven in 74 men in 500 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .550. The Astros have 1,538 hits, including 323 doubles and 288 home runs. Houston has walked 645 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,166 times as a unit. They have left 1,168 men on base and have a team OPS of .848. They score 5.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 920 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 103-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.50, Luis Severino has a 1-1 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 12 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 6 hits. He's allowing 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 610 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 750 batters and walked 267 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,374 base knocks and 691 earned runs this season. They have given up 248 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 507 hitters and struck out 1,534 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.47.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees hold a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. DJ LeMahieu comes into this matchup batting .327 with an OBP of .375. He has 197 hits this year along with 102 RBI in 602 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .518 with an OPS+ of 136. Aaron Judge is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 103 hits in 378 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .540. The Yankees as a unit have 1,493 base hits, including 290 doubles and 306 homers. New York has walked 569 times this year and they have struck out on 1,437 occasions. They have had 1,039 men left on base and have an OPS of .829. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 943 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Astros/Yankees MLB game against the spread?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Astros and over the total runs
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