Free MLB Betting Picks: National League Cy Young Award Props Odds
The National League Cy Young award is on track to be renamed the Max Scherzer award. The Washington hurler has dominated the award in recent years, and Clayton Kershaw did before him. Both guys are among the favorites to win it again this year, but it's a deep race and no one is just going to hand it to them. Here's a look at how the race breaks down, with NL Cy Young futures odds coming from BetOnline.
Max Scherzer, Washington, +250: Scherzer is on one heck of a sustained tear. He won the Cy Young with the Tigers in 2013, and then finished fifth the next year. He was again fifth in his first year in the NL, but then was the winner in both 2016 and 2017 before finishing second in voting last year. He is the model of consistency and health, having started at least 30 games every year since 2009. He'll turn 35 this summer, and health over the long term isn't something a lot of pitchers enjoy, so the risk of injury is real. He's also got a whole lot of wear on his tires, so his skills could start to fade. But he has shown no fade yet, and he's on a very good team in a division that is going to get plenty of attention. He's the guy to beat without doubt, but at this price he is also very easy to bet against.
Free $60 in Member MLB Picks No Obligation Click Here
Jacob DeGrom, New York, +400: DeGrom won the Cy Young last year with just a 10-9 record, proving what we already knew - a win-loss record can be incredibly deceptive. The big difference, though, is that DeGrom won last year while he was in the 20/1 range in futures odds. Now he is a favorite and far less attractive at these prices - as almost anyone would be. He's such a tough guy to judge because his talent is obvious, but he turns 31 in June, so he was slow to develop, and last year was a massive improvement over what we have seen from him before. Does he fall back closer to what we have seen in the past, or can he maintain his recent level of success? Either course has precedents. I tend to be a little pessimistic given the price, but I'm not totally writing him off. My bigger issue is that, as you will soon see, he's not even my favorite choice on his team.
Aaron Nola, Philadelphia, +900: Nola was third in voting last year as he continued the march further towards his immense potential last year in his 25-year-old season. I am a big believer in what this guy can do, and his team is going to be able to support him in his starts as well. I don't think we have seen the best of him yet. This price, at the very least, is much more attractive than the two that came before it.
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles, +1200: Kershaw is one of the all-time greats, with three Cy Young wins, two more runner-up finishes, and an MVP win. But even though he is only 31, it sure feels like it could be the beginning of the end. He has had back issues, his fastball velocity dipped significantly last year, and now he enters this year with injury uncertainty that has cost him his spring and could cost more. I really hope he has a resurgence back to form like Justin Verlander did, but right now I find it impossible to justify this price.
Noah Syndergaard, New York, +1400: "Thor" has had injury issues that have hurt his last two years, and given the violence with which he throws it's quite possible he could again. But when he is in form, his talent is just so stunning. And he pitches in a building which is friendly to pitchers, which certainly helps. He has to outpitch his defending champ teammate, but being better than the recent winner is a good way to inflate your own case. If he stays healthy, he's going to be tough, and this price comes pretty close to justifying the risk of his health.
Walker Buehler, Los Angeles, +2500: Buehler seems to be the future in L.A. when Kershaw is no longer able to be the present. And that's a nice luxury for the team to have. He showed just how good he can be in the World Series last year. That doesn't feel like it was a fluke, and if he can build on that he could really have a special season. He only has 32 career starts, so it could be too soon for him, but at this price he feels like a bit of a steal.
Yu Darvish, Chicago, +3300: Early in his time in Texas, we got a hint of just how special Darvish could be, and he was second in Cy Young voting in 2013. But he has had some rough times since - Tommy John surgery followed by an underwhelming stretch in L.A. and a disastrous injury-riddled first year in Chicago last year. It has been a long time since he's been good, and he may never be again. But at this price we have to at least be tempted to take a shot. You have to bet a long shot, after all.
Doc's Sports is offering $60 in member's baseball picks - no obligation, no sales people - you don't even have to enter credit card information. You can use this $60 credit for any of our top MLB handicappers. Get $60 worth of premium members' picks free. Also, for a limited time only get three MLB handicappers for the price of one. Click here for details . Get free MLB picks daily on Doc's Sports homepage.
Read more articles by Trevor Whenham
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's 100% Profit Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks