MLB Best Bets Today
Here you will find a list of our MLB Best bets of the day. This page will be updated several times a day.
This page is divided into 4 simple sections.
The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including MLB. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.
The second section lists one or two of our complimentary MLB matchup reports. We write these daily for every single MLB game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day to make the best bets in baseball.
The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in MLB.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/20/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 10/19/2020
The Tampa Bay Rays are scheduled to go head to head with the Los Angeles Dodgers at Globe Life Field on Tuesday in Game 1 of the World Series. The expected starting pitchers will be Tyler Glasnow and Clayton Kershaw. This report includes betting odds and our expert MLB picks for todays game. Read More >>
Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/18/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 10/18/2020
The Atlanta Braves are scheduled to go head to head with the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on Sunday, October 18, 2020. The men taking the mound will be Ian Anderson and Tony Gonsolin. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
MLB Best Bet Tipsters |
Top 10 Tips |
MLB Best Bet Details |
Doc's Sports |
Monitor tired teams and their travel… |
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Robert Ferringo |
Always bank on regression to the mean… |
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Allen Eastman |
Focus on team scoring in last six games… |
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Raphael Esparza |
Wednesday and Friday pitching matchups… |
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Strike Point Sports |
Best bets should be against worst teams… |
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Arun Shiva |
Always look to bet against the public… |
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Jason Sharpe |
Look for key recent information… |
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Scott Spreitzer |
Always ride the hot team… |
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Alan Harris |
Make sure to find the best number… |
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Tony George |
Totals are the way to go with best bets… |
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Vernon Croy |
Don’t try to bet against the streak… |
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Doug Upstone |
Look for these specific mismatches… |
Doc's Sports Service is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 12 MLB best bet handicapping tips from 10 of the top MLB Baseball handicapping experts in the country. Our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. In our fifth decade of existence, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.
A lot of other people in this industry focus their attention on high-pressure sales tactics and irresponsible betting practices. But at Doc's Sports we believe that there is a lot of money to be made in the sports investing market. So our MLB Baseball handicappers keep their focus on results and showing their clients a profit. It's a win-win situation and the foundation of our success: keep it simple.
We offer our clients top MLB Baseball predictions at one fair price. Our MLB Baseball handicappers release a full slate of MLB Baseball picks at 11:30 p.m. EST each day throughout the season. Every one of our MLB Baseball handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success and that includes success with their highest rated baseball plays.
All of our MLB Baseball handicapping picks come with a rotation number, unit rating (Click Here to read more about our Unit System for the best money management), time and date of the game and a detailed analysis.
Here are 12 MLB best bet handicapping tips from our team:
DOC'S SPORTS - One of the things that can lead to a big play for me in baseball is when I find a team in a difficult spot due to fatigue or travel. These elements get a lot of attention in sports like basketball and hockey, but rarely on the diamond. For example, teams that have play multiple extra innings on a "get away" day can be good fades the next time out. That is especially true if their bullpen has been overused several days in a row and one or two of the top arms will probably sit for the next game. These effects are much greater in the hot summer months of July and August (less so in September with 40-man rosters) when players are more worn down after playing 100+ games. It also helps to pay close attention to how each manager utilizes the bullpen throughout the course of the season. It won't take long to see patterns that can allow you to forecast which pitchers are likely to get used on a given night. With starting pitchers getting so much attention in regards to the betting line, putting in some extra work on bullpens can be a big moneymaker in baseball.
ROBERT FERRINGO - I am a big believer in regression to the mean. The foundation of my handicapping career is that "gambling isn't magic, it's mathematics". And there are several fundamental mathematical principles that you can count on in wagering. One area where I look for regression is in regards to batting average with runners in scoring position. When I'm looking at an MLB best bet the first thing to handicap is in the pitchers and how they matchup with the opposing lineups. But a factor that can take a good situation and make it a great one is when you have a team that is "due" because their numbers with runners in scoring position have been skewed outliers in recent games. For instance, I nailed my 8-Unit Total of the Year back on May 6 with Miami and New York easily playing 'over' the total. First I noticed two horrid pitchers on the mound. But the thing that put the play over the edge was the fact that the Marlins offense was No. 7 in batting average but just No. 17 in runs scored and they were coming off a four-game series in which they scored two or fewer runs in three of the games. They were going to break out. And facing a weak starter and a bad bullpen was exactly the kindling that lineup needed to catch fire. Miami scored eight runs that game – nearly covering the 9.0 total themselves – and that one easily went 'over'. The numbers don't lie. Don't fight them, use them.
ALLEN EASTMAN - I have 10 specific stats that I use to break down MLB games. And I base my best bets on how many of those stats come into play on a given day. If I find a game in which I get seven of 10 then that play will be on par with a Game of the Year. And I have gone a perfect 3-0 with my 8-Unit MLB Game of the Year selections so far this season. One of the things you should look for is how teams perform in their last six games. What you want is teams that are averaging at least six runs per game in their last six games versus a team that is averaging four runs or less over their last six games. That is one useful tip for finding a best bet on the diamond and it is a system I have used to help me earn 9 of 10 winning baseball years. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here.
ARUN SHIVA - In baseball we look for the same thing we do in most of our top plays which is to fade the public. But, each sport is slightly different and in baseball we look for let downs for pitchers as well. For example, with our most recent 7-Unit win on the Arizona Diamondbacks and L.A. Dodgers 'Over' 9 runs (which cashed in the 4th inning), Rich Hill was coming off a brilliant effort against Pittsburgh where he gave up 1 hit in a complete game of work. Unfortunately for him that one hit was a home run and he lost 1-0. That type of effort with no reward is brutal to take to the psyche of a pitcher and consequently we knew that he likely has a let down in his next start. And he did, giving up six runs in fewer than four innings of work. Remember, Arizona had motivation too as he had just help beat them back on July 6 when he gave up two hits in seven innings of work. Hence, we took the 'over' and it hit relatively easily.
JASON SHARPE - A best bet in MLB centers on being ahead of the curve and being proactive with current information. What I'm looking for is recent performance from a starting pitcher that contradicts his overall season numbers and for that recent performance to be backed by some kind of information on an adjustment/change. Back on August 14 I cashed a winning 7-Unit play on the Cleveland Indians using this kind of information. In that game the Indians started Trevor Bauer and my big play was centered around how much better pitcher Bauer had become of late compared to the rest of the season. What got my attention with Bauer was his recent form appeared to be a lot better than his overall season numbers (1.23 ERA in his last three starts compared to nearly a 5.00 for the season). So I dug in deeper looking at Bauer and read that he had recently made some major changes over the past month deciding to throw his best pitches a much higher percentage of the time (which I confirmed at one of the many great MLB stat sites out there). He also had changed his arm slot which had slowed down his 3rd most used pitch (cutter) and that change in arm slot created a larger MPH differential between his cutter and his top two pitches overall. The 'current information' showed we were now seeing a different/better version of Bauer. In the end this is something that the MLB betting markets are usually very slow to react too over the course of their very long regular season. It was an easy call for a best bet and he came through easily. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS - One of the best tips that we can give you for targeting a best bets on the diamond is to bet against the worst teams! I know this seems kind of obvious. But sometime bettors can overthink things, especially when they are considering stepping out with a wager that is larger than normal. But you can often find tremendous value betting against the worst teams in the league. You can't find line value with the top tier teams going up against the teams in the basement. The moneylines are usually too big. But if you are in a situation where you can find a second-tier or middle-of-the-pack team going up against the worst teams in the league then you have the beginning of a top play. The five or six worst teams in baseball are reliable for their ability to lose games in a variety of manners. The worst teams in baseball generally don't have a strong home field advantage because they don't draw many fans. And the teams in the basement generally aren't much better at home than they are on the road. We won our 8-Unit Game of the Year in mid-July with Arizona, a team that has been battling for the wild card all season, going against Cincinnati, one of the worst teams in the N.L. all season. The game was in Cincinnati so we got great line value (-140) with big pitching mismatch that would've been -200 if the D-Backs were at home. Arizona predictably dominated, winning 11-2. Your best bets should always be against the worst teams because the books can't get you with the spread. Take advantage of that. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here.
TONY GEORGE - A top play or MLB best bet is always tricky and I tend to lean more towards totals plays than side plays for bigger plays. It limits the criteria and variables for me to handicap. Side plays can go south after six innings once a great starter you banked on did his job and the bullpen tanks on him in a tight game for instance. I tend to look for both teams' last 10-game averages in batting along with bullpen ERA's and starter ERA's. Recently I won a big 7-Unit Play in 2017 between the Cubs and Reds on 'Over' 10 runs play. Both starters had ERAs above 5.00 in their last five games, both teams were hitting over .275, and both teams had bullpen ERAs over 7.00 in their last five games. It was the perfect storm and it had everything you should be looking for in a best bet.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA - has posted six of eight winning MLB seasons and has posted a run of seven of 11 winning MLB seasons. That includes his outstanding 44-31, +$5,480 run to close 2016 and his dramatic 2015 (+$15,000) run. Esparza also has another season of over $10,000 in earnings (2009) and he has been particularly exceptional with his top plays, going 100-62 between 2013-2016 on picks rated 5.0 and higher. Esparza is a former sportsbook manager at Aria in Las Vegas and knows everything the books are trying to do to confuse bettors. Esparza has been steady and spectacular on the diamond and is looking forward to another big effort.
ALAN HARRIS - Always shop for the best number and look to bet underdogs. It doesn't matter if you're betting in Vegas, offshore, with a local or a combination of the above, getting the best number is key in baseball more than any other sport. And when you make a best bet be sure to shop around lock in on the best number. Shops in Vegas will deal a 20-cent money line but many offshore spots will deal a 10-cent line (also known as a dime line). Dime lines are imperative when betting baseball as the house edge is smaller and you'll always get a higher return when betting on underdogs. Speaking of underdogs, they are another thing that should always be looked at. We are all guilty, myself included, on laying more than we should on a team because it just looks "too easy." The Dodgers have Kershaw on the mound and there's no way they're going to lose to the Giants at home. Well guess what? They did and you laid the -280. Now you have to hit three bets in a row to get yourself back to even. Try not to ever lay more than -140 or -150 in a best bet.
VERNON CROY - MLB is a game of streaks and I will almost always never go against a streak of four or more straight wins or losses. Never bet thinking Team A has just won eight in a row so I'm going to bet against them because no way they will win nine in a row. You will lose more often than not and the same goes with a team that has lost eight in a row thinking hey they can't possibly lose nine in a row. Now, given the right circumstances you should follow certain winning streaks and losing streaks. Remember the 2002 Oakland Athletics 20 game win streak? Well I happened to be on them until their 18th win.
SCOTT SPREITZER - Handicapping MLB and finding a side / total that qualifies as a Best Bet take a different approach by me than any other sport. While I do place ultra significance on starting pitchers, in this day and age when a pitcher is pulled after five innings, even when pitching at the top of his game, it has become of utmost importance to know how teams fare when leading / trailing heading into the sixth inning. This means there is also a cause to handicap "backwards." It's more important than ever to begin your handicap with a team's closer, continuing with set-up men, middle relievers, and finally, long relievers. When all aspects are aligned on the same side, including the starter and a team that hits well in their specific situation, I have a top of the ticket wager. Finally, look to step-out on normally decent starters who have been struggling recently, but make a delivery or "arsenal" adjustment in-between starts.
DOUG UPSTONE - Of course, this begins with starting pitching. If a staff ace is facing a No. 5 starter, that is a real plus, especially on the road where the money line would be lower. I'll also look at a quality No. 2 starter vs. a No. 4, particularly when the better pitcher has been in good form and the back of the rotation starter has a higher than normal ERA over a couple starts. Next, the latest form of the bullpen and what kind of usage and success/failure they have endured. If the pen has gone through normal or light usage and is fresh, versus an opponent where the starters are getting knocked out early and the manager is just trying to piece things together, both instance can work in my favor. Lastly, the form of the offense. If I have a starting pitcher edge, bullpen advantage and the team I'm looking at is averaging 5.0 or more runs a game over four or more contests, be it a favorite or underdog, that has the right look for a Best Bet.
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