MLB Best Bets Today
Here you will find a list of our MLB Best bets of the day. This page will be updated several times a day.
This page is divided into 3 simple sections.
The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including MLB. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.
The second section lists one or two of our complimentary MLB matchup reports. We write these daily for every single MLB game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day to make the best bets in baseball.
The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in MLB.
TODAY'S TOP COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
SCOTT SPREITZER has a 6-Unit College Basketball Play Wednesday night. The Big Play Capper won his 7-Unit in CBB last night (BYU) and he's on a 52-31 winning run with college basketball plays rated 5.0+ going back to last season. Scott's also on a 166-117, +18,580 winning run with all sports sides & totals rated 5.0+. Sign up below for the 6-Unit Wednesday side.
TODAY'S TOP NHL HOCKEY PLAYS
Sign up for one of the above MLB expert picks here. If you are not ready to sign up for one of our top plays, below you will find a free MLB pick and matchup report. You can get free MLB Picks daily here for every game.
Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 11/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 10/31/2023
The Texas Rangers are on the docket to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Wednesday, November 1, 2023. The starting pitchers will be Nathan Eovaldi and Zac Gallen. This report includes betting odds and our expert MLB picks for todays game. Read More >>
Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 10/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
by Tony Sink - 10/30/2023
The Texas Rangers are scheduled to go head to head with the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Tuesday, October 31, 2023. The expected starting pitchers will be Joe Mantiply and Andrew Heaney. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
MLB Best Bet Tipsters
Top 11 Tips
MLB Best Bet Details
Monitor tired teams and their travel…
Always bank on regression to the mean…
Weigh pros vs. cons of matchup...
Wednesday and Friday pitching matchups…
Strike Point Sports
Best bets should be against worst teams…
Always look to bet against the public…
Look for key recent information…
Always ride the hot team…
Totals are the way to go with best bets…
Don’t try to bet against the streak…
Look for these specific mismatches…
Target Underdogs Early in Season…
Doc's Sports Service is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 12 MLB best bet handicapping tips from 12 of the top MLB Baseball handicapping experts in the country. Our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. In our fifth decade of existence, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.
A lot of other people in this industry focus their attention on high-pressure sales tactics and irresponsible betting practices. But at Doc's Sports we believe that there is a lot of money to be made in the sports investing market. So, our MLB Baseball handicappers keep their focus on results and showing their clients a profit. It's a win-win situation and the foundation of our success: keep it simple.
We offer our clients top MLB Baseball predictions at one fair price. Our MLB Baseball handicappers release a full slate of MLB Baseball picks at 11:30 p.m. EST each day throughout the season. Every one of our MLB Baseball handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success and that includes success with their highest rated baseball plays.
All of our MLB Baseball handicapping picks come with a rotation number, unit rating (Click Here to read more about our Unit System for the best money management), time and date of the game and a detailed analysis.
Here are 11 MLB best bet handicapping tips from our team:
DOC'S SPORTS - One of the things that can lead to a big play for me in baseball is when I find a team in a difficult spot due to fatigue or travel. These elements get a lot of attention in sports like basketball and hockey, but rarely on the diamond. For example, teams that have play multiple extra innings on a "get away" day can be good fades the next time out. That is especially true if their bullpen has been overused several days in a row and one or two of the top arms will probably sit for the next game. These effects are much greater in the hot summer months of July and August (less so in September with 40-man rosters) when players are more worn down after playing 100+ games. It also helps to pay close attention to how each manager utilizes the bullpen throughout the course of the season. It won't take long to see patterns that can allow you to forecast which pitchers are likely to get used on a given night. With starting pitchers getting so much attention regarding the betting line, putting in some extra work on bullpens can be a big moneymaker in baseball.
ROBERT FERRINGO - I am a big believer in regression to the mean. The foundation of my handicapping career is that "gambling isn't magic, it's mathematics". And there are several fundamental mathematical principles that you can count on in wagering. One area where I look for regression is regarding batting average with runners in scoring position. When I'm looking at an MLB best bet, the first thing to handicap is in the pitchers and how they match up with the opposing lineups. But a factor that can take a good situation and make it a great one is when you have a team that is "due" because their numbers with runners in scoring position have been skewed outliers in recent games. The numbers don't lie. Don't fight them, use them.
GRIFFIN MURPHY - In baseball, there are all types of variables to take into consideration for success at the betting window. Confluences, or merging strategies, are my key ingredient to making a Best Bet. Every handicapper has their own angles. I am very strategic with mine. I stack up as many positive situations as possible and rank them against negatives. Of course, the first component involves pitching. I hunt for good pitchers and struggling pitchers. How many runs did our pitcher give up in his last two outings? How many strikeouts did he achieve? How many walks were given up? Then I simplify down to offense. How is my team playing offensively in their last five games? How many runs were scored? how many extra base hits occurred? Simply put, is that squad hitting the ball well or weak as of late? And, finally, how are they playing in their last 10 games? Are we trending upwards or downwards? Are we currently on a win streak, or is the team we are looking to attack currently on a losing streak? Once I have added up all of my positives, I must have at least two times more positive factors than negative factors. This strategy helps me calculate my MLB best bets!
ARUN SHIVA - In baseball, we look for the same thing we do in most of our top plays, which is to fade the public. But each sport is slightly different, and in baseball we look for let downs for pitchers as well. This is especially true when they come off a particularly brilliant start in which their team loses. That type of effort with no reward is brutal to take for the psyche of a pitcher, and consequently we know that he will likely have a letdown in his next start.
JASON SHARPE - A best bet in MLB centers on being ahead of the curve and being proactive with current information. What I'm looking for is recent performance from a starting pitcher that contradicts his overall season numbers and for that recent performance to be backed by information on an adjustment/change. In the end, this is something that the MLB betting markets are usually very slow to react too over the course of their very long regular season. It can be an easy call for a best bet.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS - One of the best tips that we can give you for targeting a best bet on the diamond is to bet against the worst teams! I know this seems kind of obvious. But sometime bettors can overthink things, especially when they are considering stepping out with a wager that is larger than normal. But you can often find tremendous value betting against the worst teams in the league, especially when those teams are at home. You can't find line value with the top tier teams going up against the teams in the basement. The moneylines are usually too big. But if you are in a situation where you can find a second-tier or middle-of-the-pack team going up against the worst teams in the league, then you have the beginning of a top play. The five or six worst teams in baseball are reliable for their ability to lose games in a variety of ways. The worst teams in baseball generally don't have a strong home field advantage because they don't draw many fans. And the teams in the basement generally aren't much better at home than they are on the road. Your best bets should always be against the worst teams, because the books can't get you with the spread. Take advantage of that.
TONY GEORGE - A top play or MLB best bet is always tricky, and I tend to lean more towards totals plays than side plays for bigger plays. It limits the criteria and variables for me to handicap. Side plays can go south after six innings once a great starter you banked on did his job and the bullpen tanks on him in a tight game for instance. I tend to look for both teams' last 10-game averages in batting along with bullpen ERA's and starter ERA's.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA - Starting pitching is key to any great baseball runs, but if you are a total guy, like myself, then bullpen usage is also something you need to look at. Some managers love to overuse their bullpens, and that could give us some soft totals and short money lines, so again pay attention to the relievers. Let's face it, people will wager on baseball on who is starting the game. But with starters only going 5-6 innings or less, the bullpen is where you will cash.
VERNON CROY - MLB is a game of streaks, and I will almost always never go against a streak of four or more straight wins or losses. Never bet thinking Team A has just won eight in a row so I'm going to bet against them because no way they will win nine in a row. You will lose more often than not and the same goes with a team that has lost eight in a row thinking hey they can't possibly lose nine in a row. Now, given the right circumstances, you should follow certain winning streaks and losing streaks. Remember the 2002 Oakland Athletics 20 game win streak? Well, I happened to be on them until their 18th win.
SCOTT SPREITZER - Handicapping MLB and finding a side / total that qualifies as a Best Bet takes a different approach by me than any other sport. While I do place significance on starting pitchers, in this day and age when a pitcher is pulled after five innings, even when pitching at the top of his game, it has become of utmost importance to know how teams fare when leading/trailing heading into the sixth inning. This means there is also a cause to handicap "backwards." It's more important than ever to begin your handicap with a team's closer, continuing with set-up men, middle relievers, and finally, long relievers. When all aspects are aligned on the same side, including the starter and a team that hits well in their specific situation, I have a top of the ticket wager. Finally, look to step-out on normally decent starters who have been struggling recently, but make a delivery or "arsenal" adjustment in-between starts.
DOUG UPSTONE - Of course, this begins with starting pitching. If a staff ace is facing a No. 5 starter, that is a real plus, especially on the road where the money line would be lower. I'll also look at a quality No. 2 starter vs. a No. 4, particularly when the better pitcher has been in good form and the back of the rotation starter has a higher-than-normal ERA over a couple starts. Next, the latest form of the bullpen and what kind of usage and success/failure they have endured. If the pen has gone through normal or light usage and is fresh, versus an opponent where the starters are getting knocked out early and the manager is just trying to piece things together, both instances can work in my favor. Lastly, the form of the offense. If I have a starting pitcher edge, bullpen advantage, and the team I'm looking at is averaging 5.0 or more runs a game over four or more contests, be it a favorite or underdog, that has the right look for a Best Bet.
AUGUST YOUNG - For me, I am a big believer in market efficiency. The oddsmakers and sharp betting groups that move the market become sharper and sharper as the season progresses. The lines have much less error in them once we get outside the first month or two. Therefore, I find it imperative to press the action, especially on underdogs in the early part of the season. Naturally, underdogs hold more value when we have more uncertainty. For example, dating back to 2005, taking all underdogs blindly in their first 10 games has produced more than +$7,700 in total profit for a $100 bettor with a +3.2% ROI. This improves to a +5.7% ROI when looking at visiting underdogs, and a +10.3% ROI when looking at visiting underdogs of +150 or higher. These edges evaporates quickly as the season progresses, but it's often been a gold mine early due to the inaccuracies in the market.
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