Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 7/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-196) Seattle (+162)

T-Mobile Park is where the Seattle Mariners (51-45) will take on the Houston Astros (56-40) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Houston at -196 and Seattle is at +162. The total is 8.5. The starting pitchers are Lance McCullers Jr. and George Kirby.

Houston has a slugging percentage of .411 and have been rung up 752 times, while drawing a walk on 280 occasions. They have accrued 399 RBI's as well as 836 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .258. The Astros have compiled 143 doubles as a team and have knocked 110 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 418 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .323. As a team, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 15th in the league.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17. Astros pitchers have given up 109 long balls and 362 runs in total (3rd in the league). Houston has yielded 715 base knocks (7.5 per 9 innings) and 342 earned runs. The Astros have compiled a team ERA of 3.61 on the season (5th in the league), and they have struck out 930 batters. They have walked 279 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.67 as a squad this season.

The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 75.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 103 save situations. The relievers have inherited 97 runners this season with 26.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 68 times and also have had 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 295 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have recorded 62 holds this year (8th in baseball). They have accumulated 30 saves this year and have blown 10 of 40 chances to save the game.

The Detroit Tigers have 2,561 putouts this year, as well as 746 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 8th in the majors, and they have turned 60 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,683 innings, which has them ranked 9th in professional baseball.

McCullers has taken the mound for 759 innings and has 849 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. McCullers (51-36 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.60 while going up against 3,217 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.65 (308 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.275. He has conceded 646 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 322 walks.

The Seattle Mariners are sitting with an OBP of .326 as well as a batting average of .250 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 847 occasions (5th in baseball) and have 827 base knocks. Seattle has accounted for 136 long balls so far this season as well as 435 runs batted in. The Mariners have a team slugging percentage of .418 and they average 4.70 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have tallied 138 two-baggers, while taking a walk 330 times as well as scoring 451 runs.

The Mariners are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.261 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.12 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (799 strikeouts against 298 walks). They rank 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 799. They have yielded 114 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 419 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.89 (376 earned runs conceded).

Seattle relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.4% out of their 84 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 131 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 88 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 47 holds and also 18 blown saves. They are currently ranked 25th in baseball with a save percentage of 56.1%, and they have dispatched 320 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Seattle has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 41 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves.

The Seattle Mariners have gotten 76 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (6th in the majors). The Mariners have recorded 820 assists, 39 errors and have accumulated 2,610 putouts for the year. Out of their 7,830 innings on the diamond, the Mariners have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Kirby has conceded 545 base knocks while he has totaled 540 strikeouts in 565 frames. He has conceded a total of 222 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.099 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 7.11 and he has faced 2,299 hitters so far in his career. Kirby (39-30 career record) has a 3.54 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-196)

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