Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 4/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, April 5, 2021

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-172) Seattle (+115)

Justus Sheffield and the Seattle Mariners (2-1, 3rd in AL West) play the Chicago White Sox (1-2, 4th in AL Central) at T-Mobile Park on Monday. The White Sox open this contest at -172 while the Mariners are coming in at +115. The total has been set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Carlos Rodon and Justus Sheffield.

As a squad, the Chicago White Sox notched 5.1 runs per outing last year, which was 5th in the league. They notched a total of 306 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .326. The White Sox tallied 94 doubles as a squad and hit 96 balls out of the park. They compiled 294 RBI's in addition to 534 hits over the course of the prior season, while their batting average came in at .261. Chicago had a slugging percentage of .453 and were called out on strikes 571 times, while drawing a walk on 179 occasions.

The White Sox compiled a team earned run average of 3.81 in the previous season (6th in MLB), and the staff struck out 523 hitters. They walked 217 players from the other team and their FIP came in at 4.32 as a team in the prior season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.26. White Sox pitchers gave up 71 home runs in addition to 246 total runs (21st in the league). White Sox pitchers came into the game with runners on in 62 games and also 67 games with high leverage. The bullpen had 32 holds over the course of last season (12th in MLB). The White Sox bullpen recorded a save percentage of 52.0% and entered the game in 58 save situations. They earned 13 saves over the course of last season and missed out on 12 of their 25 chances to save the game. The bullpen inherited 103 runners over the course of last season with 29.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. The White Sox had dispatched 224 relief pitchers to the hill last season.

Rodon was the owner of a FIP of 4.89 and he earned an ERA+ of 56. Carlos Rodon allowed 9 hits in 7.2 innings in which he pitched throughout last year. He allowed 7 earned runs last season with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.0. He allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his WHIP was 1.565. His earned run average was at 8.22 and he fanned 6 opposing batters. Rodon has pitched in 536 frames and has earned 525 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.14 (247 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.379. He has conceded 509 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 231 free passes. Rodon (29-33 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.26 while facing 2,323 hitters in the major leagues.

They recorded 88 doubles, while getting a free base 207 times and notching 254 runs. The Mariners held a slugging % of .370 and they scored 4.23 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). Seattle had a total of 60 HRs for the prior year to go along with 244 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 545 occasions (9th in baseball) and totaled 435 base hits. The Seattle Mariners earned an OBP of .309 in addition to a batting average of .226 over the course of last season.

The Mariners had a team WHIP of 1.379 in addition to having a FIP of 4.91 as a pitching staff for the previous season. They were ranked 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 482. The Seattle pitching staff conceded 303 runs during the previous year while having a team ERA of 5.04 (289 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sat at 2.04 (469 strikeouts against 230 free passes). They conceded 79 long balls and they conceded 5.28 runs per 9 innings (20th in baseball). Seattle bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 49.0% of 77 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers took the field in 54 games with high leverage in addition to 41 games with base runners. Finishing with 23 save chances, the Mariners accumulated 31 holds and 8 blown saves. They were sitting at 10th in the league with a save percentage of 65.2%, and they dispatched 189 relief pitchers to the hill last season. Seattle called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 54 save situations and they came away with 15 saves.

Sheffield gave up 52 base hits while conceding 22 ER's (3.58 ERA). His WHIP sat at 1.30 and he had a FIP of 3.17 last season. He took the ball for 55.1 innings last year while surrendering 8.5 hits per 9 innings. Sheffield had a K/BB ratio of 2.4 with 48 total strikeouts and he held an ERA+ of 119. Sheffield (4-4 career win-loss record) has a 4.50 earned run average while allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.07 and he has gone up against 414 batters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 47 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.500 and having a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Sheffield has conceded 100 hits while he has totaled 85 punch outs in 94 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-172)

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