Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, September 10, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-125) St. Louis (+100)

Jon Lester and the St. Louis Cardinals (70-68, 3rd in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (74-67, 2nd in NL Central) at Busch Stadium on Friday. The Cardinals open this game at +100 while the Reds are priced at -125. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Tyler Mahle and Jon Lester.

The Reds have tallied 256 two-baggers as a team and have hit 192 baseballs out of the stadium. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .431 and have been rung up 1,264 times, while being walked on 483 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.9 runs per contest, which is 7th in MLB. They have 665 RBI's in addition to 1,181 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .250. They have accumulated 693 runs scored while having a team OBP of .329.

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Reds pitchers have given up 182 long balls and also 662 runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 542 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.45 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.38 so far this season (18th in the league), and they have struck out 1,328 hitters.

The Reds relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.3% and has come into the game in 131 save situations. The relievers have inherited 219 base runners for the year and 39.3% of them crossed the plate. Reds pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 145 times as well as having 167 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 500 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers have accumulated 66 holds over the course of the season (16th in baseball). They have 38 saves this year and have blown 25 of their 63 save chances.

The Reds have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,256 innings, which has them sitting 22nd in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 3,752 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,229 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 14th in MLB, and have accumulated 914 double plays.

Mahle has taken the hill for 462 frames and is sitting with 495 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Mahle (24-30 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.44 while going up against 2,002 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.38 (225 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.338. He has conceded 446 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 173 walks.

The St. Louis Cardinals are sitting with a team OBP of .312 and a team batting average of .240 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,133 occasions (26th in the league) and have earned 1,094 base hits. St. Louis has tallied 156 HRs for the season to go along with 551 runs batted in. The Cardinals have a slugging percentage of .398 and they have an average of 4.14 runs per contest (26th in MLB). They have hit 217 two-baggers, while taking a walk 416 times as well as racking up 572 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 595 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.13 (553 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 129 home runs and they allow 4.44 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.322 and have a FIP of 4.34 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.98 (1,051 strikeouts against 532 free passes). They have a ranking of 8th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,061.

St. Louis relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.1% out of their 248 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 129 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 140 save situations, the Cardinals have 82 holds and 18 blown saves. They rank 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 67.9%, and they have sent 472 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season. St. Louis has called on relievers to take the mound in 56 save opportunities and they have walked away with 38 saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have twisted 108 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (17th in pro baseball). The Cardinals have recorded 1,274 assists, 77 errors and have notched a total of 3,615 putouts during this campaign. In 10,845 innings on the diamond, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (4th in professional baseball).

Lester (198-117 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.66 ERA while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and he has gone up against 11,364 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 1,101 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.278 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. During his pro baseball career, Lester has allowed 2,584 base hits while he has earned 2,467 K's in 2,711 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-125)

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