St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (-125) Cincinnati (-120)
Great American Ball Park is the venue where Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (31-29, 3rd in NL Central last year) will take on the St. Louis Cardinals (30-28, 2nd in NL Central last season) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cardinals priced at -125 and the Reds are at -120. The O/U is set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are Adam Wainwright and Tyler Mahle.
The Cardinals recorded 73 two-baggers as a unit and hit 51 baseballs out of the stadium last season. St. Louis had a slugging percentage of .371 and struck out 477 times, while getting the free base on 205 occasions. As a team, the St. Louis Cardinals knocked in 4.1 runs per game, which ranked them 24th in the league. They had 231 RBI's and 410 base knocks over the course of the prior season, and their team batting average sat at .234. They had a total of 240 runs while having a team OBP of .323.
The Cardinals compiled a team earned run average of 3.90 for the prior year (9th in MLB), and the staff rung up 464 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 204 batters and their FIP came in at 4.58 as a team last season. Their K/BB ratio was 2.27 and the pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.23. Cardinals pitchers yielded 69 home runs in addition to 229 total runs (26th in baseball). Cardinals relief pitchers entered the contest with players on base in 62 contests and also 44 outings with high leverage. The relievers recorded 22 holds last season (25th in MLB). The Cardinals relief pitchers accumulated a save rate of 72.2% and entered the game in 43 save situations. They had 13 saves last season and blew 5 of their 18 save chances. The relievers inherited 97 runners in the previous season with 26.8% of them earned a run for their team. The Cardinals had dispatched 177 relievers to the mound last year.
Wainwright was the owner of a FIP of 4.1 and his ERA+ was 134. Adam Wainwright allowed 54 base hits in 65.2 innings in which he pitched throughout last year. He gave up 23 ER's last season with a K/BB ratio of 3.6. He gave up 7.4 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was 1.051. His earned run average was 3.15 and he fanned 54 opposing hitters. Wainwright has thrown 2,169 innings and has accumulated 1,830 punch outs in his career. Wainwright (167-98 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.41 and he has gone up against 9,001 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.38 (815 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.225. He has conceded 2,066 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 591 walks.
The Reds hit 76 doubles, while getting a free base 239 times as well as putting up 243 runs. The Reds held a slugging percentage of .403 and they scored 4.05 runs per contest (28th in the league). Cincinnati tallied 90 home runs over the course of last season and 237 runs batted in. They were rung up on 534 occasions (12th in baseball) and totaled 390 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds accounted for a team OBP of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .212 over the course of last season.
The Cincinnati pitching staff conceded 243 runs for the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.84 (215 earned runs yielded). They gave up 67 dingers and they gave up 4.34 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Reds had a team WHIP of 1.218 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a pitching staff in the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 2.89 (615 strikeouts against 213 walks). They ranked 29th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 401. Finishing with 17 chances for a save, the Reds earned 25 holds and also 8 blown saves. Cincinnati called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 43 save situations and they came away with 9 saves. Their relief pitchers came into 53 games with high leverage and also 56 games with runners on base. Cincinnati relievers had an inherited score rate of 30.0% out of their 92 inherited base runners. They were ranked 24th in the league holding a save rate of 52.9%, and they sent 168 relievers to the hill last year.
Mahle earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.9 with 60 total strikeouts and he held an ERA+ of 138. He threw 47.2 innings last year while allowing 6.4 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Mahle allowed 34 total hits while he conceded 19 earned runs (3.59 ERA). His WHIP was at 1.15 and he was the owner of a FIP of 3.88 throughout last season. In his pro baseball career, Mahle has surrendered 314 hits and he has 313 K's in 309 innings. He has conceded a total of 161 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.400 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and he has faced 1,356 hitters so far in his MLB career. Mahle (13-25 career mark) has earned a 4.68 earned run average while conceding 9.1 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-120)
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