Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins
Date: Thursday, April 1, 2021
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-145) Miami (+134)
Marlins Park is the venue where Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (31-29, 2nd in NL East last year) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (40-20, 1st in AL East last season) on Thursday. The Rays open this matchup at -145 while the Marlins are coming in at +134. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Tyler Glasnow and Sandy Alcantara.
The Rays accumulated 105 two-baggers as a squad and hit 80 balls out of the stadium last year. Tampa Bay was slugging .425 and struck out 608 times, while getting the free base on 243 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays earned 4.8 runs per contest, which had them at 12th in MLB. They recorded 274 RBI's in addition to 470 base knocks for the previous season, while their team batting average came in at .238. They notched a total of 289 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .328.
The Rays finished with a team earned run average of 3.57 in the prior season (3rd in MLB), and their staff struck out 552 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 168 opposing players and their FIP finished at 3.94 as a squad last season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.22. Rays pitchers conceded 70 home runs and also 229 runs in total (27th in baseball). The Rays sent 219 relievers to the hill for the previous season. The relievers inherited 97 runners during the previous year and 17.5% of those runners crossed home plate. They earned 23 saves during the previous year and missed out on 8 of their 31 chances to get a save. The Rays relievers had a save percentage of 74.2% and stepped onto the mound in 73 save situations. The bullpen a total of 41 holds for the prior year (5th in MLB). Rays relief pitchers entered the game with opponents on base in 69 games as well as 84 games with high leverage.
Glasnow was the owner of a FIP of 3.66 and he earned an ERA+ of 101. Tyler Glasnow surrendered 43 base knocks in 57.1 innings pitched over the course of last year. He gave up 26 ER's last season with a K/BB ratio of 4.1. He gave up 6.8 hits per nine innings and he held a WHIP of 1.134. His ERA was at 4.08 and he struck out 91 opposing batters. Glasnow has thrown 315 innings and has accumulated 383 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 4.43 (155 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.337. He has given up 275 base hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 146 walks. Glasnow (15-18 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.08 and he has gone up against 1,346 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.
They tallied 82 doubles, while getting a free base 191 times as well as recording 263 runs. The Marlins had a team slugging percentage of .384 and they were earning 4.38 runs per contest (21st in the league). Miami compiled 60 home runs in the previous season to go along with 247 RBIs. They were rung up on 537 occasions (11th in MLB) and accounted for 472 base knocks. The Miami Marlins held an OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .244 for the previous season.
The Miami pitching staff surrendered 304 runs last season while having an ERA of 4.86 (272 earned runs given up). They allowed 82 homers and they relinquished 5.43 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Marlins held a team WHIP of 1.452 in addition to having a FIP of 5.02 as a team in the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.00 (451 strikeouts vs 226 walks). They were ranked 9th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 506. Miami relievers had an inherited score rate of 31.0% out of their 115 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers came into 53 games with high leverage in addition to 71 outings with runners on base. Ending the season with 23 save chances, the Marlins earned 28 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They were ranked 3rd in MLB holding a save percentage of 78.3%, and they dispatched 215 relief pitchers onto the field last year. Miami called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 56 save situations and they walked away with 18 saves.
Alcantara earned a K/BB ratio of 2.6 with 39 total K's and he held an ERA+ of 154. He pitched in 42.0 innings last year while giving up 7.5 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Alcantara gave up 35 base knocks while he surrendered 14 earned runs (3.00 ERA). His WHIP was 1.19 and he earned a FIP of 3.71 last year. Alcantara (11-19 record in his career) has a 3.71 ERA while surrendering 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 1.84 and he has gone up against 1,195 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 116 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.324 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. In his MLB career, Alcantara has surrendered 248 base knocks while he has tallied 230 punch outs in 281 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+134)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks