Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-147) Miami (+100)

Marlins Park is the site where Elieser Hernandez and the Miami Marlins (31-29, 2nd in NL East last year) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (40-20, 1st in AL East last season) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Rays coming in at -147 and the Marlins are at +100. The total has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Rich Hill and Elieser Hernandez.

Tampa Bay had a slugging % of .425 and struck out 608 times, while being walked on 243 occasions. They had 274 RBI's as well as 470 base knocks over the course of last year, and their team batting average finished at .238. The Rays compiled 105 two-baggers as a unit and smacked 80 balls out of the park. They notched a total of 289 runs while holding a team OBP of .328. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays put up 4.8 runs per game, which was 12th in MLB.

The Rays held a team ERA of 3.57 over the course of the prior season (3rd in MLB), and their staff rung up 552 batters. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.22. Rays pitchers yielded 70 long balls and also 229 runs (27th in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 168 opposing hitters and their FIP came in at 3.94 as a unit in the previous season. The Rays relievers had a save rate of 74.2% and stepped onto the mound in 73 save situations. The relievers inherited 97 base runners in the prior season and 17.5% of those runners crossed the plate. Rays bullpen pitchers came into the game with runners on base in 69 contests in addition to 84 contests with high leverage. The Rays had dispatched 219 relievers to the mound over the course of the prior season. The relievers recorded 41 holds last year (5th in baseball). They had 23 saves over the course of last year and missed out on 8 of their 31 save chances.

Hill was the owner of a FIP of 3.99 and his ERA+ was 140. He allowed 13 earned runs over the course of last year with a K/BB ratio of 1.8. He conceded 6.5 hits per nine innings and he had a WHIP of 1.164. His earned run average was at 3.03 and he fanned 31 opposing hitters. Rich Hill allowed 28 base knocks in 38.2 innings pitched last season. Hill (67-44 career record) has a FIP of 3.93 while he has faced 4,092 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 803 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 390 free passes. His earned run average is 3.79 (411 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.222. Hill has pitched in 976 innings and has accumulated 1,035 punch outs during his career.

The Miami Marlins had a team on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .244 over the course of last year. They were rung up on 537 instances (11th in baseball) and tallied 472 hits. Miami accumulated 60 long balls in the prior season to go along with 247 RBIs. The Marlins held a team SLG% of .384 and they were earning 4.38 runs per contest (21st in baseball). They recorded 82 two-baggers, while taking a walk 191 times as well as racking up 263 runs.

The Miami pitching staff given up 304 runs over the course of last year while having a team ERA of 4.86 (272 earned runs conceded). They gave up 82 dingers and they surrender 5.43 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Marlins had a team WHIP of 1.452 in addition to having a FIP of 5.02 as a pitching staff over the course of the prior season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.00 (451 strikeouts against 226 free passes). They finished at 9th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 506. Miami called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 56 save situations and they earned 18 saves. They ranked 3rd in the league with a save rate of 78.3%, and they dispatched 215 relievers onto the diamond last season. Their relievers stepped onto the hill in 53 games with high leverage and 71 outings with runners on base. Miami relievers had an inherited score rate of 31.0% of 115 inherited runners. Finishing with 23 save chances, the Marlins earned 28 holds and also 5 blown saves.

Hernandez had a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.8 with 34 total punch outs and an ERA+ of 147. He took the ball for 25.2 innings last season while conceding 7.4 hits per 9 innings. Hernandez allowed 21 total hits while surrendering 9 earned runs (3.16 ERA). His WHIP was at 1.01 and he was the owner of a FIP of 3.89 over the course of last year. Thus far in his career, Hernandez has given up 165 base knocks while accumulating 164 strikeouts in 173 innings. Hernandez (6-12 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.82 earned run average and has conceded 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 93 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.284 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 and he has faced 743 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+100)

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