Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 4/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers

Date: Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-130) Texas (+120)

Tanner Roark and the Toronto Blue Jays (1-1, 4th in AL East) travel to Globe Life Field on Tuesday where they'll take on the Texas Rangers (0-2, 4th in AL West). The Blue Jays open this matchup at -130 while the Rangers are priced at +120. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Tanner Roark and Dane Dunning.

Toronto has a slugging rate of .343 and have struck out 29 times, while drawing a walk on 7 occasions. They have 8 runs batted in in addition to 21 hits so far this season, while their batting average is sitting at .206. The Blue Jays have hit 2 two-baggers as a team and have hit 4 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 9 runs while holding a team OBP of .264. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 3.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 25th in the league.

Blue Jays pitchers have relinquished 2 home runs in addition to 8 runs in total (28th in MLB). They have walked 14 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.84 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.07 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33. The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 2.67 on the season (7th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 29 batters.

The Blue Jays had sent 226 relievers to the hill over the course of last year. The relief pitchers inherited 121 runners for the previous season and 28.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. They tallied 17 saves over the course of the prior season and blew 12 of 29 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relief pitchers accumulated a save rate of 58.6% and came into the game in 67 save situations. The bullpen tallied 35 holds for the previous season (9th in the league). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers came into the game with opponents on base in 76 games in addition to 87 contests with high leverage.

Roark was the owner of a FIP of 6.86 and his ERA+ was 64. He gave up 36 ER's last year and had a K/BB ratio of 1.8. He gave up 11.3 hits per nine innings and he had a WHIP of 1.741. His ERA was 6.80 and he struck out 41 batters. Tanner Roark allowed 60 base hits in 47.2 innings pitched last season. Roark has taken the ball for 1,148 innings and has 931 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 3.83 (489 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.258. He has given up 1,107 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 337 free passes. Roark (76-67 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.14 while he has faced 4,802 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Rangers have a team SLG% of .410 and they score 7.00 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have tallied 5 doubles, while walking 16 times as well as recording 21 runs. Texas has a total of 3 HRs so far this year and 20 RBIs. They have struck out on 35 occasions (12th in the league) and have earned 29 hits. The Texas Rangers are sitting with an on-base percentage of .384 and a batting average of .276 for the season.

The Rangers have a team WHIP of 1.920 in addition to having a FIP of 6.31 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 36. The Texas pitching staff have given up 28 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 10.08 (28 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.17 (26 strikeouts against 12 walks). They have conceded 6 long balls and they concede 10.08 runs per 9 innings (30th in baseball).

Texas relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of 93 inherited base runners last year. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 41 games with high leverage in addition to 50 contests with runners on base. Finishing with 19 chances for a save, the Rangers compiled 16 holds and 9 blown saves. They ranked 25th in MLB holding a save percentage of 52.6%, and they sent 204 relievers to the hill last season. Texas called on relievers to step onto the mound in 36 save situations and they came away with 10 saves.

Dunning had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.7 with 35 total K's and an ERA+ of 113. He took the ball for 34.0 innings last season while surrendering 6.6 H/9. Dunning gave up 25 base knocks while surrendering 15 earned runs (3.97 ERA). His WHIP was 1.12 and he held a FIP of 3.99 last year. 

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-130)

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