Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 4/10/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, April 10, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+190) Atlanta (-235)

Truist Park is the site where the Atlanta Braves (88-73 last year) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (83-79 last season) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Cincinnati at +190 and Atlanta is coming in at -235. The total is set at 10. The men taking the mound are Jordan Lyles and Ian Anderson.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds scored 4.9 runs per game, which had them sitting at 9th in the league. They were sitting with 786 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .328. The Reds accrued 295 doubles as a squad and knocked 222 balls out of the stadium. They compiled 756 RBI's as well as 1,352 base knocks for the prior year, and their average at the plate was at .249. Cincinnati had a slugging percentage of .431 and struck out 1,425 times, while taking a walk on 553 occasions.

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The Reds compiled a team earned run average of 4.41 during the previous year (20th in the league), and the staff rung up 1,524 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio was at 2.47 and their pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Reds pitchers conceded 206 home runs in addition to 760 runs in total (20th in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 617 players from the other team and their FIP was 4.34 as a team last season.

Reds bullpen pitchers came into the game with runners on base 163 times in addition to having 189 games in high leverage situations. The relievers had 73 holds last year (21st in baseball). The Reds relief pitchers recorded a save rate of 61.2% and stepped onto the mound in 142 save situations. They earned 41 saves last year and missed out on 26 of 67 save opportunities. The bullpen inherited 248 base runners for the previous season and 38.7% of those players crossed home plate. The Reds had dispatched 579 relievers to the hill in the prior season.

The Reds converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,909 innings, which had them ranked 22nd in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds earned 4,303 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,422 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .984 which was 19th in professional baseball, and had a total of 125 double plays.

Lyles has taken the ball for 1,147 innings and has accumulated 878 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 5.21 (664 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.435. He has surrendered 1,252 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 394 free passes. Lyles (54-79 career mark) has a FIP of 4.72 and he has faced 5,045 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Braves had a team slugging % of .435 and they averaged 4.91 runs per contest (7th in baseball). They had 269 two-baggers, while getting a free base 549 times and scoring 790 runs. Atlanta accumulated 239 home runs last season in addition to 762 runs batted in. They were called out on strikes on 1,453 instances (11th in the league) and notched a total of 1,307 base hits. The Atlanta Braves held an on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .244 over the course of the prior season.

The Braves held a team WHIP of 1.242 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.09 as a staff over the course of the prior season. Their K/BB ratio was 2.75 (1,417 strikeouts vs 516 walks). They were sitting at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,236. They conceded 183 HR's and they yielded 4.19 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff given up 656 runs over the course of last year while holding a team ERA of 3.88 (608 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta relievers had an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 185 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 221 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with base runners. With 180 save situations, the Braves had 113 holds and 26 blown saves. They were ranked 17th in MLB with a save percentage of 60.6%, and they sent 581 relievers to the hill last season. Atlanta called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 66 save opportunities and they walked away with 40 saves.

In their 12,696 innings on the field, the Braves earned a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves turned 104 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in the majors). The Braves had 1,483 assists, 72 errors and had a total of 4,232 putouts over the course of last year.

During his pro baseball career, Anderson has allowed 126 base knocks and he has 165 K's in 160 innings pitched. Anderson (12-7 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.25 earned run average and has allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 58 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.201 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.46 and he has gone up against 673 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+190)

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