Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, May 1, 2022

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Toronto (-145)

Rogers Centre is the site where the Toronto Blue Jays (13-8) will try to beat the Houston Astros (11-9) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Astros at +125 while the Blue Jays are at -145. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Framber Valdez and Kevin Gausman.

Houston has a slugging % of .372 and have struck out 165 times, while drawing a walk on 70 occasions. They have 77 RBI's in addition to 142 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate comes in at .213. The Astros have accumulated 32 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 24 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 79 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .291. As a squad, the Houston Astros are putting up 4.0 runs per game, which is 20th in MLB.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 3.66 for the season (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 168 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.67 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Astros pitchers have surrendered 18 home runs and also 81 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 63 hitters and their FIP is 3.83 as a squad so far this season.

The Astros bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 20 save situations. The relievers have inherited 27 runners for the season with 33.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Astros relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 18 times as well as having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have dispatched 74 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 13 holds for the season (11th in MLB). They have recorded 5 saves on the year and have not converted 2 of their 7 save opportunities.

The Houston Astros have a total of 532 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 151 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which puts them in 6th in baseball, and have 14 double plays. The Astros have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,596 innings, which has them ranked 13th in pro baseball.

Valdez has taken the mound for 333 innings and has earned 320 punch outs during his career. His ERA is 3.70 (137 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.318. He has surrendered 285 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 154 walks. Valdez (25-18 career record) holds a FIP of 4.01 while facing 1,430 batters in the major leagues.

Toronto has tallied 28 HRs for the year to go along with 86 RBIs. They have notched 33 two-baggers, while taking a walk 54 times and putting up 87 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team on-base percentage of .309 as well as a batting average of .250 over the course of the season. The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .415 and they have an average of 4.14 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have struck out on 182 occasions (9th in MLB) and have tallied 177 hits.

The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.224 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.54 as a staff on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.11 (177 strikeouts against 57 free passes). They are sitting at 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 172. They have relinquished 19 dingers and they surrender 4.23 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 88 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (81 earned runs yielded).

With 32 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 16 holds and 5 blown saves. Toronto has had relief pitchers enter the game in 15 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 35 times in high leverage situations in addition to 20 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 30 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 85 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season.

In their 1,686 innings on the field, the Blue Jays hold a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (20th in professional baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 15 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (13th in pro baseball). The Blue Jays have 177 assists, 9 errors and have earned a total of 562 putouts for the season.

During his career, Gausman has conceded 1,189 base knocks while tallying 1,192 K's in 1,202 frames. He has conceded 532 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.277 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.45 and he has gone up against 5,062 opposing batters in his MLB career. Gausman (65-73 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.98 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Toronto (-145) and under 7.5 runs

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