Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, May 16, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Detroit (-128) Toronto (+106)

The Detroit Tigers (29-15) are hitting the road to Rogers Centre on Friday where they will meet the Toronto Blue Jays (21-21). The moneyline on this matchup has Detroit at -128 while Toronto is coming in at +106. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jack Flaherty and Bowden Francis.

The Tigers have recorded 63 doubles as a team and have smacked 56 balls out of the park. Detroit has a slugging rate of .424 and have been called out on strikes 388 times, while taking a walk on 152 occasions. As a unit, the Detroit Tigers are putting up 5.6 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have amassed 232 runs batted in and 393 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .261. They have tallied 244 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .334.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.99 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.16. Tigers pitchers have allowed 49 home runs in addition to 158 runs (7th in baseball). Detroit has given up 326 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and also 141 earned runs. The Tigers have an earned run average of 3.24 so far this season (3rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 386 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 129 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.91 as a team for the year.

The Tigers relievers have recorded a save percentage of 68.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 30 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 57 runners for the season with 28.1% of them crossed home plate. Tigers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 41 times as well as having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The Tigers have sent 126 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have a total of 12 holds on the campaign (29th in baseball). They have recorded 11 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 5 of 16 save chances.

The Tigers have turned 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 3,522 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball. The Colorado Rockies have accumulated 1,174 putouts on the campaign, as well as 380 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which is 8th in the majors, and they have turned 31 double plays.

Flaherty (56-46 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.63 and he has gone up against 3,612 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 726 base hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 306 walks. His earned run average is 3.68 (356 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.186. Flaherty has taken the mound for 870 frames and is sitting with 992 strikeouts during his career.

The Toronto Blue Jays have an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .251 on the year. They have struck out on 314 instances (29th in the league) and have tallied 356 base hits. Toronto has recorded 35 home runs for the year and 162 runs batted in. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .379 and they are scoring 4.00 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have notched 75 two-baggers, while taking a walk 135 times as well as putting up 168 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 190 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.32 (180 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 60 homers and they allow 4.56 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.237 and have a FIP of 4.30 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (391 strikeouts vs 129 walks). They come in at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 335.

Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 23 save chances and they have come away with 14 saves. They rank 20th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.9%, and they have dispatched 143 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 40 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score rate of 21.5% of 65 inherited runners. Sitting with 48 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 25 holds and 9 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 27 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 330 assists, 22 errors and have a total of 1,127 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 3,381 innings on the field, the Blue Jays hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (13th in pro baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Francis has conceded 141 base hits while tallying 158 K's in 181 innings pitched. Francis (11-10 career record) has earned a 3.47 earned run average while allowing 7.0 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 70 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.003 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.85 and he has faced 723 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Detroit (-128)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here