Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 8/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+125) Detroit (-145)

Comerica Park is the location where the Detroit Tigers (74-53) will take on the Houston Astros (69-56) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Houston at +125 while Detroit is at -145. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Framber Valdez and Charlie Morton.

As a squad, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball. They have accumulated 530 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .319. The Astros have recorded 190 doubles as a unit and have hit 136 balls out of the park. They have tallied 507 runs batted in as well as 1,077 hits on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .254. Houston owns a slugging percentage of .401 and have been called out on strikes 988 times, while taking a walk on 364 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.10 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22. Astros pitchers have conceded 151 home runs in addition to 513 total runs (8th in MLB). Houston has relinquished 975 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 482 earned runs. The Astros have a team ERA of 3.89 for the year (13th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,180 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 381 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.93 as a team on the season.

The Astros relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 73.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 124 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 126 base runners on the campaign with 27.0% of those players earned a run for their team. Astros bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 94 times as well as having 124 appearances in high leverage situations. The Astros have sent 394 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have recorded 73 holds so far this season (12th in the league). They have accumulated 36 saves this season and have blown 13 out of their 49 save chances.

The Astros have converted 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 10,026 innings, which has them ranked 11th in the majors. The Detroit Tigers have notched a total of 3,342 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 977 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which has them ranked 6th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 81 double plays.

Valdez (79-47 career record) has a FIP of 3.21 and he has gone up against 4,306 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 870 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 371 walks. His ERA is 3.26 (377 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.193. Valdez has taken the hill for 1,040 innings and has 1,017 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Tigers hold a slugging % of .423 and they score 4.83 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have 197 doubles, while walking 394 times as well as scoring 614 runs. Detroit has hit 163 long balls for the year to go along with 592 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,120 instances (4th in baseball) and have tallied 1,069 base hits. The Detroit Tigers hold an on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a batting average of .250 for the year.

The Detroit pitching staff have given up 524 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.80 (476 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 141 home runs and they allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.223 with a FIP of 3.93 as a unit for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (1,087 strikeouts against 368 bases on balls). They rank 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,009.

Sitting with 112 save situations, the Tigers have earned 59 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Detroit has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 50 save opportunities and they have converted 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 105 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with runners on. Detroit relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.4% out of their 190 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 6th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.0%, and they have sent 388 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year.

In their 10,137 innings played, the Tigers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (13th in MLB). The Detroit Tigers have turned 99 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (15th in pro baseball). The Tigers have recorded 1,073 assists, 60 errors and have notched a total of 3,379 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Morton has surrendered 141 base knocks while totaling 129 strikeouts in 140 innings pitched. He has given up 76 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.418 and having a FIP of 4.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.22 and he has gone up against 624 opposing batters thus far in his career. Morton (8-11 career win-loss record) has a 4.88 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+125)

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