Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+110) Toronto (-132)

The Toronto Blue Jays (82-61) will try to beat the Houston Astros (78-66) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Houston at +110 while Toronto opens at -132. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Luis Garcia and Jose Berrios.

The Astros have hit 222 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 159 balls out of the park. Houston has a slugging percentage of .401 and have struck out 1,147 times, while drawing a walk on 426 occasions. As a team, the Houston Astros are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 23rd in the league. They have recorded 581 runs batted in as well as 1,234 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is at .253. They have 609 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .318.

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The Astros have compiled a team earned run average of 3.85 on the year (8th in the league), and they have struck out 1,365 hitters. Astros pitchers have yielded 175 long balls and also 590 total runs (8th in MLB). They have walked 454 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.98 as a unit this season. Houston has allowed 1,114 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 550 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Astros have dispatched 458 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 154 runners on the campaign with 23.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 40 saves for the season and have missed out on 14 of their 54 chances to save the game. The Astros relievers have accumulated a save rate of 74.1% and stepped onto the hill in 137 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 80 holds this season (14th in baseball). Astros bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 112 times as well as having 152 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Detroit Tigers are sitting with 3,854 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,132 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which is 8th in baseball, and they have turned 93 double plays. The Astros have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs in their 11,562 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 9th in MLB.

Garcia (30-20 career mark) has a FIP of 3.51 and he has faced 1,652 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 346 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 135 walks. His earned run average is 3.56 (159 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.196. Garcia has thrown 402 frames and has tallied 408 strikeouts in his career.

The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled an OBP of .338 and a batting average of .269 on the year. They have struck out on 966 instances (30th in MLB) and have tallied 1,315 hits. Toronto is sitting with 174 long balls so far this season as well as 689 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging percentage of .433 and they average 5.00 runs per contest (4th in baseball). They have recorded 263 doubles, while getting a free base 468 times and scoring 715 runs.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.268 and have a FIP of 4.33 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.00 (1,270 strikeouts vs 453 walks). They are currently ranked 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,155. They have conceded 191 dingers and they concede 4.61 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 650 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.24 (597 earned runs conceded).

With 153 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 86 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Toronto has had relievers enter the contest in 62 save chances and they have earned 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 142 times in high leverage situations in addition to 152 occasions with runners on base. Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.3% of 218 inherited runners. They are ranked 15th in the league holding a save rate of 62.9%, and they have dispatched 496 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 101 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (25th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,089 assists, 81 errors and have accounted for 3,804 putouts this year. In their 11,412 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (13th in baseball).

Berrios (108-82 career mark) has earned a 4.07 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.15 and he has faced 6,558 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 705 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.238 and having a FIP of 4.0. So far in his career, Berrios has surrendered 1,463 hits while tallying 1,474 strikeouts in 1,559 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+110)

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