Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

The Kansas City Royals (74-73) are on their way to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (87-60). The odds on this game have the Royals at +162 and the Phillies are priced at -196. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Noah Cameron and Aaron Nola.

Kansas City has a slugging % of .389 and have been rung up 996 times, while taking a walk on 389 occasions. They have accounted for 549 RBI's in addition to 1,190 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .243. The Royals have compiled 256 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 139 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 559 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .305. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are notching 3.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 28th in MLB.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.64 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Royals pitchers have surrendered 148 long balls in addition to 570 total runs (3rd in the league). Kansas City has surrendered 1,190 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 531 earned runs. The Royals are sitting with a team ERA of 3.66 this year (4th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,152 batters. They have walked 436 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a unit on the year.

The Royals relievers have earned a save percentage of 69.8% and have entered the game in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 203 runners so far this year with 27.1% of those players crossed home plate. Royals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 148 times and also have had 161 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have sent 493 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 78 holds this season (20th in baseball). They have earned 44 saves on the year and have blown 19 of 63 save chances.

The Royals have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,745 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 7th in MLB. The Houston Astros are sitting with 3,915 putouts this season, as well as 1,293 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .989 which ranks 4th in pro baseball, and have earned 115 double plays.

Cameron has taken the ball for 120 innings and has earned 96 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 3.00 (40 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.117. He has allowed 98 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 36 free passes. Cameron (7-7 career record) has earned a FIP of 2.96 while he has faced 486 hitters in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a team OBP of .330 and a team batting average of .260 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,193 instances (19th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,303 hits. Philadelphia has knocked in 184 home runs on the year as well as 684 runs batted in. The Phillies have a team slugging percentage of .429 and they average 4.82 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have hit 246 doubles, while taking a walk 481 times as well as scoring 709 runs.

The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.237 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.64 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.30 (1,346 strikeouts against 399 free passes). They come in at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,214. They have allowed 154 dingers and they concede 4.04 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 585 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.78 (548 earned runs surrendered).

With 141 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 73 holds and 23 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the contest in 65 save chances and they have come away with 42 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 161 times in high leverage situations in addition to 95 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.9% of 140 inherited base runners. They sit at 11th in MLB holding a save percentage of 64.6%, and they have dispatched 457 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

In their 11,739 innings played, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in MLB). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 95 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,260 assists, 54 errors and have earned a total of 3,913 putouts so far this year.

Nola (108-87 career mark) has a 3.82 earned run average while surrendering 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.17 and he has gone up against 6,963 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 719 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.151 and having a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Nola has given up 1,507 hits while accumulating 1,858 K's in 1,696 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kansas City (+162)

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